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With two years until the next elections Stefan Löfvens In reality, the government is in a better position than rumors often claim.
Opinion polls may not be a wild feast for Social Democrats, but it definitely could have been worse. The strong lifting of the crown this spring showed that there are still many voters that S can mobilize. The economic crisis has also provided an opportunity and opportunity to pursue an economic policy that members and major voters appreciate.
At the same time, cooperation with the Center Party has been more fluid than many feared. Now is also Annie Lööf behind, with a friendly tone towards S and new trenches in front to the right.
The Center Party is consolidating itself more and more as a party in the left team. This is brilliant news for Stefan Löfven, because it is the axis of power with C that is really important for the Social Democrats.
The Green Party and the Left Party are angry and fight a lot, but they basically have nowhere to go. True, liberals are dating, out of January cooperation and possibly out of history, but that would solve at least as many problems as it creates.
Then we have the opposition. Rivals on the right have gotten better and better at attracting other people’s voters, but they don’t reach the majority of the entire electorate. Not even now, in the middle of elections, when the opposition should normally be at its strongest.
As long as development goes in the wrong direction, it doesn’t matter how many times Mikael Damberg paraphrases Tony Blair.
From all these perspectives, it seems that survival king Stefan Löfven was able to stumble until a third term in power.
But then we have this with crime.
When the head of the National Police issued a general cry for help on his own initiative on Saturday, it was the culmination of an end to summer in which gang-related killings and other grotesque violent crimes brought most things to light. , including the pandemic we just talked about.
It has been an icy reminder that the “agenda” is not something that arises in the communication offices of the parties, as much as the employees want to believe it.
The predictable conversations are now being staged in the media about whether there are police operations. or Preventive measures are needed, despite the fact that no one, except possibly a Left Party spokesman, sees a contradiction between arresting perpetrators of violence and trying to access the breeding ground for antisocial behavior.
Every human being understands that rampant violent crime is a sign that society is feeling bad. Precisely for this reason, 50 murders with firearms in public places cause much more concern than if 100 people at the same time drowning in the bathtub.
For this reason, too, the political effects of violence are much broader than those contained in any legal debate between two candidates for justice. The basic question applies why society feels bad and who can do something about it.
If this government wants to be the answer to this last question, it is urgent to show clear results.
Every new alleged shooting is a credibility opportunity
Social Democrats have long been careful to show the rhetorical front on the question of law and order, and in the short run it may be enough to Morgan johansson (C) plays 0-0 against Johan Forssell (M) in the match on who is the toughest in the TV studio.
However, as long as development on the ground goes in the wrong direction, it doesn’t matter how many times Mikael Damberg paraphrase Tony blair about being tough on both crime and the causes of crime.
Since somewhere last fall, we’ve passed the point where every new alleged shooting becomes a credibility opportunity. If nothing changes, the two years before the elections appear as a threat rather than a promise.
After the last two parliamentary elections, the official electoral analysis of the Social Democrats has established that the party had bad luck with the “agenda”, that is, that the voters were thinking about things that the party preferred not to think about.
This government probably cannot afford another such election.
Viktor Barth-Kron is a political commentator at Expressen.
