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Harry Houdini has been known for over a hundred years for his incredible ability to break chains, handcuffs, and straitjackets.
Now the Prime Minister must prove that he is a separatist political king who can emerge from equally stagnant situations. The Löfven government is caught between two determined and firm actors who do not want to back down.
The first is the Left Party Jonas Sjöstedt. He hoped that the Left Party’s threat to overthrow the entire government if it weakened employment protection would give the unions a chance to reach an agreement that they were happy with. Then the leader of the left could proclaim victory, just in time for his resignation in a couple of weeks.
But on Friday afternoon, hopes were dashed. LO threw in the towel and left the negotiating table.
“We will not tolerate Löfven remaining prime minister if the government goes ahead and turns LAS’s research proposal into law,” Jonas Sjöstedt quickly tweeted.
It has the power to carry out the threat. The Christian Democrats have pledged to sign a petition for the Prime Minister’s censure together with V. When the vote takes place, the Swedish KD, moderates and Democrats promise to vote with the Left Party against Stefan Löfven (S).
It is difficult to see any way out.
Stefan Lövfen (S).
Photos: Kevin Chang, Kevin Chang, Kevin Chang, Kevin Chang, Kevin Chang
On the other side are the parties to the January Agreement, The Center and the Liberals, and they block the exit. They helped Stefan Löfven realize his political dream project of dividing the Alliance and creating a center-right collaboration. So they paid well. The promise to liberalize labor law was the jewel in the crown for them when they signed the January agreement.
The center and the liberals don’t want to let it go. Together with the government, they drafted guidelines for the latest investigation, appointed an investigator, and submitted the proposal for consultation. On October 26 the time expires. Annie Lööf (C) and Nyamko Sabuni (L) have made it clear that the investigation must be carried out if there is no new agreement. Otherwise, the January collaboration will be broken.
There is also no way out.
Stefan Löfven’s plan to get rid of all this was that the social partners would save S from trouble through a deal. The Social Democrats do not want to liberalize labor law nor do they disagree with LO. But the plan appears to be on the verge of collapse.
“A possible government crisis, that is what the political parties have to face. We will fight so that LO members have better conditions for the Swedish labor market, “LO base Susanna Gideonsson said Friday afternoon.
But there may still be a gap for the Prime Minister.
It could take advantage of the liberals’ aversion to by-elections (the party is below the four percent barrier in public opinion) and that the Center Party has burned the bridges to its allies and has no good alternative to the january cooperation. Perhaps, even though it seems almost pointless, you can offer something for C and L to change the research proposal.
Or you need to make the Left Party back down under the threat of a vote of no confidence. Of course, it would be easier if the government negotiated with V, but that prohibits the January agreement.
The third way out of the deadlock is to get the parties to make a third attempt to reach an agreement. “If the sky falls,” Kommunal president Tobias Baudin responded firmly when asked if it could happen.
This is exactly how the moderate leader in the electoral movement responded when asked if the moderates were prepared to rule without the four bourgeois parties being involved. It wasn’t long before it turned out that the sky had fallen and that he was ready to do just that.
A government crisis is not inevitable, but it requires both innovative art and another of the qualities that made Houdini great: good marketing.
