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Has a comfortable position and a developed strategy
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Support for moderates is at its highest level since the elections, just over 23 percent.
But the bread of one is the death of the other, or at least disappointment.
Voters disappoint both liberals and Christian Democrats in this year’s latest voter barometer from Aftonbladet / Demoskop.
The moderates made a poor decision in 2018, losing just over three percentage points and finishing below the 20 percent level for the first time in a long time.
But since then, support has grown. Not all the time, but the trend has been slightly up.
Now the party is at its highest level since the elections, just over 23 percent.
The explanation is mainly that the voters of KD, and to some extent also the voters of L, switch to the moderates.
This may be because moderates are currently in a fairly comfortable position.
Photo: Henrik Montgomery / TT
Ulf Kristersson, Moderator.
The largest opposition party It can operate quite freely, without much pretense of assuming responsibility for the country. They are also not being challenged by the Swedish Democrats at the moment, SD plays a rather withdrawn role, leaving a lot of room for Ulf Kristersson and his fellow party members.
Add to that a conscious strategy to focus on law and order, one of the issues that voters consider most important. At every opportunity, Kristersson accuses the government of doing too little too late against criminal networks and the growing number of shootings.
Obviously, it has paid off. It took some time though.
But support is also increasing for the most part the party, the Social Democrats.
It was at its peak at the beginning of the acute crown crisis in May. At the time, just over 30 percent of voters declared that they would vote for S if there were elections at that time.
Since then, support has slowly waned. So far, when it rises by one percentage point to 25 percent, just over three percent below the election result.
I think the explanation is simple. The government under Stefan Löfven (S) has again taken the lead in the discussion of the crown after taking a more withdrawn role for many months. Last Sunday, Löfven also delivered his second speech to the nation in eight months.
It was a new Swedish record. Previously, only two prime ministers, Carl Bildt (M) and Göran Persson (S), gave speeches to the nation and they only achieved one at a time during their terms.
It is normal for support for the largest ruling party to be quite high during a deep crisis, as long as citizens do not feel that it is disappearing entirely. This has not really been the case with the Social Democrats. But the satisfaction of the leadership of the Social Democrats should still be quite high today. Your modified communication strategy has gone home.
Photo: Jessica Gow / TT
Stefan Löfven (S).
For the ruling party the Green Party and Liberal government coalition party, it still looks very grim. Both are still below the 4% barrier and would not enter the Riksdag if there were elections today. The Liberals’ result in this poll is not the lowest yet, it has been another 10 percent lower in the past.
But half of Stefan Löfven’s base of government is still at risk of disappearing from the Riksdag in the next election. What planning do the Social Democrats have for that? Unfortunately, I don’t know, but I’m sure someone is already trying to crack that nut.
Photo: Jessica Gow / TT
KD Party Leader Ebba Busch.
Photo: Pontus Lundahl / TT
The leader of L’s party, Nyamko Sabuni.
The Government and its cooperating parties, called the January parties, together they have support of about 41 percent. In the last voter barometer of this year, support for two of them, S and C, increases, but decreases for the other two, MP and L.
Support for the three right-wing opposition parties is just over 48 percent. It increases for one, the moderate ones, and decreases for two, KD and SD.
In general, the state of Swedish politics can be described as being trampled on woolen socks. No one comes up with brilliant ideas, energy and progressive thinking are conspicuous in their absence.
It is probably due to the corona pandemic. The gray cloak that covers life has also covered politics.
Photo: Paul Wallander
graphic
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