Löfven’s nightmare: the parts of cooperation in crisis

The ruling party, the Green Party and the Liberals, maintain figures of continuous crisis, according to the latest GP / Sifo electoral barometer. Both are on the loose around the four percent barrier and, if it holds until the next election, they both risk leaving the Riksdag.

Jonas Hinnfors, professor of political science at the University of Gothenburg, emphasizes, however, that there are two years until the next election and a lot can happen until then.

– It is difficult to say if it will happen, but they will be in a bad situation in the next elections, he says.

READ MORE: POL: sifoanalys sept

Deputy spokeswoman Isabella Lövin recently announced her resignation. That message comes after a summer in which much of the political reports dealt with the gap between the MP and S in government, especially on immigration issues.

– The deputy has wanted to be in the government to be able to influence politics. They have to some extent. At the same time, it’s obvious that you have to back down again and again and if you don’t get run over, at least you are seen as an underdog in government. This in itself may have created uncertainty among voters and activists alike, says Jonas Hinnfors.

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Troubled year for Sabuni

Nyamko Sabuni, in principle, since he assumed the position of leader of the party, had to deal with such lousy figures as his predecessor Jan Björklund. No trend break has been observed.

– The party leader often says that she sleeps badly and worries about public opinion, that the January agreement is not good, but at the same time she goes through a lot of politics and remains in cooperation. There is a certain ambivalence, says Jonas Hinnfors and continues:

– The party is basically divided, which is almost illustrated by what he says and what he does. There is a lack of agreement here, what kind of match should L be? If you don’t know that, you won’t be very effective in forming opinions, and the different groups of voters are out of step with each other. If they don’t resolve this, the barrier will close threateningly.

Hard seat for S

The crisis figures from the two sides create a worrying situation, to say the least, for Prime Minister Stefan Löfven. If the Social Democrats want to stay in power after 2022, all indications are that they must cooperate in broad coalitions. And then it will be no less important to stay on the good side of the Green Party and the Liberals.

– A right-wing majority where the SD has influence is the worst scenario for the Social Democrats, but also for the Center Party and the Left Party. So it may be important for S to comply with MP and L in the policy areas that can make them successful, says Jonas Hinnfors.

It may be time for the Social Democrats to start thinking along the lines of not running over their governing partner or the L Cooperation Party too much, according to Hinnfors.

– Can you make concessions to the MP? This difficult Preem decision is coming up, and at the same time some compromises may need to be made in the area of ​​migration.

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Regarding L, it is important that they have an impact on his problems, something the party has also received in recent weeks through a series of different budget proposals for next year’s state budget.

Regarding L, it may be even more difficult. If it passes over L, there is a risk that the phalanx that wants to rule with Kristersson, and indirectly with SD, will become stronger. So you’ve lost L as a support group.