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I think; Now Ipsos has done really well, has to come out and deny, apologize, shame on DN! However, it MAY not be true that an authority whose forecasts have been largely one hundred percent incorrect will obtain such high credibility figures.
What FHM has done in the last month is actually almost creepy, how they managed to score poorly so clinically, without exception, over and over again. They have apologized, they have been wrong with such emphasis that it was suspected that there was some kind of rage in the background, like a furious instinct: we must be wrong at all costs.
However, when I now think about it with a little perspective on things; FHM was bad at first too, right? I remember those days at the end of April, when the hope of herd immunity was first kindled. FHM advisor Johan Giesecke appeared on the “Aktuellt” type and warned us that we were weeks away from herd immunity, maybe even days away, if we weren’t immune to the herd now?
And then nothing happened, not herd immunity anyway, and a month later the same predictions came back, herd immunity just a few weeks away, and we were confused with hope again, because we felt that with immunity from promised herd we as a nation can finally reap the fruits of a severe spring, because now we are on the other side of the pandemic, we are in a post-pandemic state, immune to the herd and immovable, unlike the other countries around us .
And we look sadly at Europe, thinking of the chaos that we knew would happen there, but not here. And Tegnell was also completely convinced. “Sweden will do better than Norway in a new wave of infection,” he warned in July. It turned out that not only was it wrong, it was completely wrong, as wrong as something really may be. The figures for Norway are disturbing and have problems, but what has happened to our spread of the infection is something else entirely.
Our curve doesn’t just go up, it goes up so steeply that it seems to collapse on its own ascent, overturning on itself.
The first wave hit us hard like a rock on one cheek, and now the second wave hit us even harder on the other. But the “second wave” is not something we talk about, of course. For whatever reason, it’s important that Tegnell doesn’t use the word. No one knows why, but time after time, as this huge second wave rips through the country, Tegnell comes out and says it’s not even a wave. Obsessed with the idea of not calling a wave a wave.
Bad at everything, most of the time.
But it really has to be said that it is not just FHM that is wrong. Most people who say they know something about the virus have been found to be wrong. Also Tegnell’s critics. The famous “22 researchers” already predicted as early as March that 13 million Swedes would die or whatever, that we would be largely annihilated as a people if we did not implement all those so enthusiastic evidence-free measures.
It’s a bit desperate though. I’m starting to wonder if the future is worth commenting on from experts. Maybe they should stop. Nothing is true. And FHM does what it can, the virus is difficult to understand and Tegnell seems to be a good person who does what he can. But with so many mistakes, you can easily listen to anyone.
They could take in that octopus who guessed the results of the World Cup and let him decide the strategies. Or why not let the horoscope decide? Now that Mars and Jupiter are in Capricorn, we are lifting the restraining order for those over 70.
State epidemiologist Anders Tegnell in SVT’s “Aktuellt” earlier this week: We are happy with this.