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From: TT
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Photograph: Kirsty Wigglesworth / AP / TT
EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier will try to find a solution in London for future trade and cooperation after Brexit. Stock photo.
It is believed and expected and patience is requested. But soon there is no time to agree on an orderly Brexit.
The EU and the UK organize a kind of chicken race, which may end in emergency measures to avoid chaos.
Time and again, it has been pointed out that time is soon running out for talks on trade, fisheries and other cooperation between the EU and the UK after Brexit.
October was the goal for a long time, in order to ensure the introduction of the new conditions before January 1, 2021, when the current UK transition rules expire. If no deal was reached by October 15, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said he could just as easily give up.
Although that date came and went without a breakthrough or break, as the next goal of ending everything before the October / November change, or mid-November, or at the end.
And now it’s December.
Talks in progress
Negotiations are still ongoing, with continued hopeful statements from both parties.
“I would very much like to reach an agreement and I think we can reach one,” Michael Gove, the London government Brexit leader, told British ITV on Tuesday.
– There is a lead to a deal. We are now really in the final stages if we want to reach a deal this week, Irish Prime Minister Michael Martin told The Irish Times at the same time.
At the same time, both parties still point out that disagreements persist and that you are not ready to accept anything.
“Chickens race”
At the same time, the demands of adequate preparation for a tort situation increase. The Prime Ministers of Belgium and the Netherlands specifically addressed the issue at the last summit of EU leaders.
For now, the European Commission still has ice in its stomach. Nobody wants to start talking openly about the emergency measures they want, as long as they keep waiting for a deal that covers it all.
The EU side has made it clear that it does not want to be the first to leave the negotiating table, but to keep talking as long as the UK wishes.
The result has been a kind of chicken race, where no one wants to give up just yet.
Is the flight stopped?
If an agreement cannot be reached, the consequences will be great, especially in the area of trade and transport.
For travel, New Year’s Day can be dramatic as planes no longer have the right to land and come to a complete stop in the tunnel under the English Channel.
The European Commission still hopes to have time to work out temporary agreements in order to avoid excessive problems.
“If preparedness measures are needed, they will be limited to the very special circumstances that prevail and will be taken in good time for us to be prepared before January 1,” Brexit spokesman Daniel Ferrie promised on Monday.
Customs and VAT
When it comes to trade, it is more a question of those who trade with Great Britain have to prepare.
Much more administration is expected when UK permits are no longer automatically valid in the EU and goods are accounted for as coming from “third countries”, with other requirements for duties and VAT rates.
– It is easier for large companies to prepare, but here it is also important that small and medium-sized companies that trade with the United Kingdom are prepared if unfortunately there is no orderly solution, says Finance Minister Magdalena Andersson (S).
Other areas that will be directly affected will be, for example, fishing where EU vessels will no longer have the right to fish in British waters as of January 1 if no agreement is reached.
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