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Questioning and constantly twisting and turning crown strategies is necessary and helpful.
But it is still too early to indicate which path has been the correct one. Something that many rush with.
Despite the fact that it has been almost six months, we are far from a definitive conclusion for the pandemic.
This weekend, Sweden received praise from the World Health Organization, WHO expert professor David Nabarro. What he praised was the way Sweden tried to fight the virus without constantly shutting down society.
He thought that New Zealand, which had exceptionally managed to halt the spread of the infection and keep the death toll low, should look ahead to Sweden’s path. Like other countries.
It may seem a bit strange because Sweden still, despite very low death rates, is very high when it comes to deaths relative to population.
But Nabarro sees the pandemic as a marathon rather than a sprint. It is important to choose a strategy that lasts for the long term.
Photo: Christine Olsson / TT
WHO Professor David Nabarro.
When Covid-19 broke out in earnest in Europe in March, most people assumed it would be a few weeks or up to a few months before things returned to normal. The longer we live with the pandemic, the more we realize that it is about more than years.
It all depends on how the virus behaves in the future and who will be most affected by a second wave.
Nabarro rightly points out that the constant closures of society hit those at the bottom of the social ladder hardest. Those who are already poor and low-income become even poorer and may eventually become part of a new and growing underclass where premature death is a consequence.
Huge success
Of course, it is a great success for New Zealand to have managed to keep the virus at bay. But it is a success that in itself contains the seed of a potential future crisis.
After not having had a single case of covid-19 for 102 days, a cluster of infection recently broke out in the capital Auckland. How could that happen? Where did the virus come from when the country’s borders are completely closed? It is not yet clear.
Auckland was closed in line with the country’s stiff efforts to eradicate the virus. But how many times can you do it without breaking the bank? Without ruining the opportunity for children and young people to receive a good education that can give them a good income in the future?
Photo: TT
Medical personnel test motorists for COVID-19 in Christchurch, New Zealand.
Australia, which for a long time seemed to follow New Zealand’s path, suddenly became seriously infected in one of the country’s largest cities, Melbourne. For the second time, you are in a long and strict quarantine. The spread of the infection is now increasing in the state of New South Wales as well.
For a long time, repelling a virus that has already spread throughout the world is extremely difficult, perhaps impossible. Even with closed borders, it doesn’t seem possible.
Of course, China seems to have been quite successful so far. Each new outbreak is hit hard, and even the nation of 1.4 billion seems to have done exceptionally well. But what other country can use such brutal and invasive methods as the communist dictatorship?
Lucky or not?
Everybody hopes that a vaccine is the magic formula. But no one knows how effective it will be. Anders Tegnell, for example, already says that it may not work as well for the elderly population, the one that gets sick the most and whom we mainly want to protect.
Although we have a flu vaccine, every 250,000 to 600,000 people in the world die from the disease.
Photo: NILS PETTER NILSSON
State epidemiologist Anders Tegnell.
In terms of the number of deaths, Sweden has definitely not been very successful in its fight against the coronavirus. Either Norway, Denmark and Finland have had much less spread of the infection from the beginning, thankfully, or they have simply done something more good than Sweden. Up to this point. Her death toll is far below the Swedish.
At the same time, countries like Italy, France and Spain, despite long and strict “blockades”, have been hit harder than Sweden.
In other words, the image is very fragmented and it is not entirely clear what works best. But it is unrealistic in the long term to shut down entire communities or large areas over and over again. Somehow, the world has to learn to live with the virus. Fight against it but without burying education and finances.
So sadly, it is not primarily the strategies of the countries that decide, but the ability of ordinary people to take responsibility by keeping their distance, not going to work when they are sick and following other instructions that allow society to remain open. .
Then we will see what the results look like. Maybe sometime around 2022?
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