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Anders Tegnell describes the situation in Italy earlier this spring as the great revelation of how quickly the coronavirus is spreading. He claims that infection-tracking work connected with Swedish sports holiday travelers to the country was successful in many cases, but adds that it was later understood that there was a widespread spread of the infection at other times in other parts of the world as well.
– When we look back now, it is not the Italian travelers that we think was the great introduction in Sweden, but everything else that travels during sports holidays, says Anders Tegnell in Ekot’s Saturday interview, and continues:
– We found people who came home with the virus from the UK and Boston in the US. USA – And from Austria who for a long time did not see anything for themselves. From there we had a large import to the Nordic countries. During this time, this spread throughout Europe in a very complete way, and not least to Stockholm, since it was a very big trip then. Not only to Italy.
Updated progress report for Saturday The Public Health Agency shows that a total of 22,082 people have tested positive for the new corona virus in Sweden. 2,669 deaths from the disease have been recorded, of which 16 have been recorded in the last 24 hours. 1,531 people have received or are receiving intensive care in Sweden since they got sick from covid-19.
A mathematical model from the Public Health Agency has shown that 26 percent of Stockholm County’s population has or will have covid-19 on May 1. According to Anders Tegnell, that figure may be true, which in Saturday’s radio interview emphasizes that there are significant uncertainties in modeling. The results of larger, nationwide measurements of the spread of the virus are now awaited.
Another calculation from the Public Health Authority has shown that Sweden’s R figure (reproduction number) has been below 1.0 for a week. The speech is a description of how many people each sick person infects on average. If the R number is greater than 1, the spread of infection continues. If the R number is less than 1, the spread of infection slows down slowly.
Anders Tegnell claims that much indicates that the R number in Sweden is around one, but that it will also vary over time.
– I think we’ll lie down here and bounce up and down around one. We have already done this for several weeks. Maybe we’ll do this for a week before we hope it’s clearer that we’re headed down, Tegnell says in Ekot’s Saturday interview.
– We are on this plateau that strengthens the pressure of infection in Stockholm and the surrounding regions. Medical care has a lot. But it does not get worse, but not noticeably better either.
In the DN debate earlier this week, five researchers argued that Sweden should have chosen a different strategy, called “the hammer and the dance,” which they believe could have saved lives during the crown crisis.
In short, that means that the strictest restrictions are already at an early stage, in order to gradually ease the measures and prioritize extensive testing to quickly stop regional outbreaks.
Anders Tegnell comments on a discussion article on DN in an interview with TT on Saturday and then says that the strategy the researchers describe is not fundamentally different from the strategy now being applied in Sweden. However, according to Tegnell, the implementation of the measures they recommend would have been very difficult.
– Yes, in theory it may sound good, you would like to slow down the pump. But in practice, it is very difficult, because many of these things we are talking about cannot pump the brake. For example, it is not possible to open and close schools every few weeks, Anders Tegnell tells TT.
Can’t it be worth it anyway, if the goal is to endure waiting for vaccines and medications?
– Other countries have already given up waiting for it with hard closings. The consequences are too extensive, Tegnell tells TT.
