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This year’s newborn Swedes cannot expect to be 110 years old, but “only” 93 years old. A miscalculation yielded “too optimistic” figures, according to Unicef.
Newborn Swedes will live to an average age of 93.3 years. Stock Photography.
On New Year’s Day, the UN agency Unicef presented figures on the average age that children born this year in different countries can expect. Swedish children, born in 2021, could expect to be 110 years old, it was called, that was wrong.
Due to an error in the calculations, several countries had an excessively long life expectancy.
“It is deeply regrettable,” Unicef wrote in an email to Danish news agency Ritzau.
In some cases, the calculation has led to the shelf life being incorrect for more than 20 years. One of the biggest mistakes concerns Switzerland. The revised list now shows that children born in the country are expected to be 94.8 years old, 21.6 years younger than the original list, where Swiss children averaged 116.4 years.
In the case of Sweden, it was a 17-year error, life expectancy was scored from 110.2 to 93.3 years.
According to Unicef, the calculation error is due to the fact that the UN population forecast, World Population Projections, which is the basis of the forecast, only extends to the year 2100.
“A simple method was used to continue past trends into the future with additional assumptions and forecasts during that period. But the forecast for the older age group was sensitive to the data used for the younger age groups, and it yielded some overly optimistic figures for some Western countries, “Unicef writes to Ritzau.
