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In an interview with Svenska Dagbladet, math teacher Tom Britton dares to make another calculation on when Sweden can achieve herd immunity.
He believes that around 15 percent of Swedes today have antibodies and that the upcoming mass vaccination will boost herd immunity.
– I’m not an expert in vaccines, but if that process goes well, I think we can achieve herd immunity during the second half of spring. It seems like a reasonable assessment. So hopefully around 50 percent of the population has antibodies. Partly as a result of the infection itself, partly after the vaccine, Tom Britton tells SvD.
Tom Britton: “I was wrong, I made a wrong evaluation”
The math professor has been critical of the Swedish Public Health Agency and said they are slow and suffer from prestige thinking about managing the corona pandemic.
He doesn’t seem to have much prestige himself.
In the interview with SvD, he has no problem admitting inaccuracies in his previous estimates.
The biggest of them is that he believed in herd immunity in May, an immunity that six months later does not seem to be within reach.
– I was wrong, I made an incorrect evaluation. I guess I wasn’t alone in that. But that doesn’t make things better, Tom Britton tells SvD.
I thought a second wave could be prevented
Another mistake was when Tom Britton, in late summer, thought the immunity was great enough to stem a second wave of infection, the wave that now swept through Sweden in full force.
– I think the mistake last summer was not so serious. In a DN debate article in August, I argued that we had a large enough immunity to stem the second fall wave. That was true to some extent, but not entirely, Tom Britton tells SvD.
Do you need to get vaccinated if you have had covid-19?
Hear the response from vaccine researcher Matti Sällberg.
