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With almost two years to go until the next election, it is rumbling within the liberals. Torkild Strandberg, the party’s most successful municipal politician and a heavyweight internally, considered in an interview on Sydsvenskan that the liberals must start ending cooperation with the Social Democrats. The party should already name Ulf Kristersson (M) as its candidate for prime minister, Strandberg said. Similar views have been expressed in a couple of appeals from party members across the country. Other representatives, however, have defended the January agreement with the government.
The background to the debate on the choice of the party’s path is a historically weak public opinion situation. The crisis is confirmed by the November DN / Ipsos survey. Liberals are rounded to 3 percent. This hits the party’s lowest record since May this year.
The depression is the longest the party has experienced since DN / Ipsos kicked off the polls in 1979. For the sixth month in a row, the Liberals have failed to pass the 4 percent parliamentary bloc. Other measurements have shown a similar image of a party in deep crisis.
Nicklas Källebring is an opinion analyst at Ipsos.
– If the recent proposals on the issue of government are rooted in concerns, it is very justified, he says.
DN / Ipsos survey it also shows that liberals are no longer strong in any constituency. The only thing that stands out is something highly educated where voter support is around 5 percent.
The internal debate is about how liberals should position themselves between the two parties that support the state, the Social Democrats and the Conservatives. In the opinion of the S-led government, voters for Liberals differ from those who sympathize with the other party in the coalition, the Center Party. DN / Ipsos shows that L voters are more negative towards the government than C sympathizers. Those who would vote for L also believe to a greater extent than Center Party voters that a moderate-led government would do a better job.
– This shows that those who want to give a clear message that the party is fighting for an M-led government have some support among L voters who remain today, says Nicklas Källebring.
At the same time, previous DN / Ipsos polls have shown that there is strong opposition among L voters to cooperation with SD, something that may be necessary if leader M is to become prime minister.
In general, the changes small in the November poll. The pollution has gained new momentum, but it is not clearly reflected in the survey that was completed on November 22.
Social Democrats marginally increase to 26 percent. It is well below the highs of the spring, when the first wave of infection hit, but still higher than before the crisis began.
The positive long-term trend of the moderates is confirmed. 21 percent rounded down means the party’s highest list since May 2018. Swedish Democrats have been stable for several months and remain at 20 percent.
Notably, the Left Party retains its support from 11 percent voters in the first poll after Nooshi Dadgostar assumed the party leadership position from Jonas Sjöstedt. The Center is also quiet and receives 9 percent.
Voter support for Christian Democrats reaches 5 percent in November. This is the lowest DN / Ipsos result in two years. The Green Party is still at risk, like the 4 percent threshold for parliament.
In total, the three right-wing opposition parties (M, KD, SD) have a 5 percentage point advantage (rounded) over the January parties (S, MP, C and L).
