Karin Bojs: Do we have to sacrifice alcohol, dancing or cat?



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Acquaintances from the audiobook industry are also reporting on brilliant deals. Not to mention the companies that deliver movies and TV series to all the inactive housewives.

Otherwise it is very dark. Businesses are collapsing, people are being laid off and unemployed.

Dance bands, for example. In normal cases, dance bands perform in Sweden in front of more than three million people a year. A bigger business than football. It is now a cross stop.

Social pardans – or control dance as it is also called – where you dance around constantly new people, it is from an infection control point of view one of the most inappropriate things you can do.

Sad for me and for others who like to dance. And worse for all professional dance band musicians, dance organizers and dance teachers. They pay a high price to protect us all from infection.

Like taverns, which will now be prohibited from serving alcohol after 10 at night.

On a scale, infection control, pressure on care and human lives. But on other scales economy, employment and all other health aspects except covid.

That is why it is so important that measures against pandemics are well balanced, are as effective as possible and pose as little stress as possible.

You can for animal welfare reasons They don’t like mink farms, or for moral reasons, be opposed to people being super in the pub late at night, or thinking it “feels good” in mouth guards. But a pandemic is not a suitable playhouse for guessing kids and amateur epidemiologists. What is needed are scientific studies as the basis for well-balanced decisions. Theoretical models and laboratory studies are not enough, observations of reality are needed to fit the models.

That’s why this week’s Nature Study conducted by, among others, computer scientist Jure Leskovec, referred to by DN’s Maria Gunther, alongside, is so important.

Leskovec and his co-authors have used data from the mobile phones of 98 million people to investigate how the coronavirus actually spreads.

The results of their studies and those of others show that most of those infected do not transmit any infection. A small proportion of so-called “super-spreaders” account for the majority of virus transmission. Most of the theoretical models have overlooked this fact before and therefore the models often ended very badly.

Like there are super human spreaders, there are particularly critical places where the infection spreads. The study indicates in that order: restaurants with alcohol and table service, gyms, hotels, cafes, religious establishments and simpler restaurants. (Housing and workplaces, formerly known as the worst hotspots, are not included in the survey, and neither is public transportation because mobile data cannot differentiate between people cycling, walking, driving, or taking a bus.)

What is decisive is how long visitors stay on the site and how close people stand or sit. Lower income areas have a greater spread of infection than wealthier areas, probably because the inhabitants cannot stay home to the same extent.

Effective infection control It should be based on facts, not on which industry interests are loudest or which decisions are most likely to catch on.

For example, should mink farms with half a million minks, which have been so passionate about animal rights activists, be banned?

What should we do with 1.4 million cats in Swedish households? Since May it has been known that cats, like minks, are particularly sensitive to covid-19.

There is certainly a theoretical risk that the virus will mutate when it jumps between animals and humans, so that the vaccine loses its effect. But so far it doesn’t seem to have happened. It’s important to have ice on your stomach, weigh the pros against the cons, and make decisions that do the most good and least harm.

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