Ingmar Nevéus: How far is Trump willing to go to stay?



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American politics now unfolds in two parallel worlds.

In one of them, Joe Biden prepares to take office on January 20. He has formed a council to fight the corona pandemic, receives calls from foreign leaders, and is considering names for his future government.

In the other world, there is Donald Trump, the incumbent president. So far he is determined to fight for the elections to be annulled.

The president started on Tuesday declaring through Twitter that “WE WILL WIN!” “Great progress” is being made and “the results will come next week.”


https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1326158760826560515

What he refers to are the many lawsuits that the Trump campaign has launched in Pennsylvania, Michigan and other states where the president lost to Biden, but which so far have not yielded any results.

Monday I was engaged the US state apparatus in this fight, as Attorney General William Barr instructed federal prosecutors across the country to “investigate ballot irregularities.”

Republican Party leaders like Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell also support the idea that the election won’t be decided until all of Trump and his closest claims are investigated. McConnell, on the other hand, has no objection to the many Congressional elections the Republicans won.

In fact, what the Trump campaign and his lawyers have accomplished so far is very little. Several applications, including those from Pennsylvania and Michigan, have already been rejected in court. Others have such a level of detail that they cannot change more than a handful of voices.

Some of the lawyers hired by the campaign are even said to have their doubts. The co-owner of the prestigious company Jones Day tells the New York Times they are concerned that they are helping to undermine democracy when they bring unsubstantiated allegations of cheating in court.

Maybe something will come more substantially next week, as Trump seems to promise.

Or the lawyers’ presentations and the actions of the Justice Ministry are part of a larger campaign, which aims to pave the way for more drastic measures.

This campaign includes a host of loose “facts” that no self-preservation attorney would take with forceps. It’s a wild flora of rumors of Trump’s hidden boxes, rigged voting computers, and dead voters – unconfirmed material that right-wing outlets like Breitbart are now pumping out that has gone viral since being shared by Trump and his sons online. social.

This is something repeated by the president’s supporters at “stop theft” meetings in various parts of the United States.

So while professional politicians As McConnell speaks broadly about “alleged wrongdoing,” common Trump voters are increasingly convinced that there has indeed been large-scale fraud.

They have seen so many examples online.

But how far can Trump go? Will you really try to change the elections? Nothing seems out of place in Trump’s world.

Ta delstaten Wisconsin. Here, the president’s son, Donald Trump Jr., has already championed the idea that the state legislature, where Republicans have a majority, could appoint its own constituents instead of the 10 Democrats now preparing to vote for Biden. .

According to unofficial vote figures, Biden has beaten Trump by more than 20,000 votes in Wisconsin. There is a small enough margin to request a new calculation, but there is no indication that such a change will change the result.

The hope is instead that local party members, pressured by popular demands, will fall short and sabotage the normal post-election process.

About the authorities of some states waiting to certify the election results, something they normally do in late November, can affect the final election result. The Wall Street Journal claims that is what the Trump campaign wants to achieve in Pennsylvania and Michigan, for example, referring to alleged wrongdoing.

In the worst case scenario, it could lead to one or more states being unable to nominate voters, or even to the appointment of two competing constituencies of voters, one Democrat and one Republican.

In such a situation, it will be up to Congress to decide which electoral votes will be counted on December 14. Or the Supreme Court steps in and decides whether the states have acted in accordance with the constitution.

This is of course a horror scenario, not ruled out but not very likely either.

Most likely, he will be stopped by the judges of the states in question who say no to postponing the certification of the election result. But even these state judgments can be appealed to the HD, where there is now a conservative majority: 6 to 3.

Or it stops if Donald Trump himself decides the battle is lost.



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