Follow all the numbers of the night here



[ad_1]

In the final sprint, opinion polls have pointed to an advantage for Joe Biden. On the statistics site Five thirty eight In the latest forecast, the Democrat wins 51.8 percent against Donald Trump’s 43.4 percent.

But nothing has been determined yet.

At midnight Swedish time, the first polling stations closed. Since then, the US media has begun announcing the expected results in various states.

Trump wins here

According to CNN, Donald Trump wins as expected in Indiana.

The AP writes that the president also wins in Kentucky, West Virginia, South Carolina and Alabama.

NBC News also reports that Trump is winning in Oklahoma.

Trump also wins in Tennessee, according to Bloomberg.

Here Biden wins

Joe Biden wins in Vermont, Virginia, Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Mississippi and Illinois, according to AP.

The Democrat also wins in Maryland and the District of Columbia, according to CNN.

It also wins in Delaware, according to NBC News.

Shakers in Florida

The giant shaker is now in Florida, which has 29 electoral votes. The situation is currently too even to declare a winner.

With about 67 percent of the votes counted, Donald Trump is 50 percent to Biden’s 49.1 percent, according to CNN.

For Joe Biden, Florida is very important, as the state can be decisive for his victory. So far, however, the Democrat has underperformed in Miami-Dade and Broward County, where Trump, among other things, performed better among Latin American voters, writes CNN.

Expressen’s Mats Larsson says Florida is also critical for Donald Trump to win. It will be very difficult for him to win the presidential elections without a victory there. Of course, it’s a deep disappointment for Joe Biden if he doesn’t win there, but he has far more chances to take home the states that Trump won in 2016. But that’s how he started in 2016 too. Hillary Clinton considered many more ways to achieve victory. It was Trump who surprised. However, it is concerning for Biden if Latino voters vote more than expected for Trump. They are also a large constituency in other major states, such as Arizona.

Even in the wave master states of Georgia and North Carolina, it is now very even among the candidates.

The New York Times gives Trump an 85 percent chance of winning Florida and a 75 percent chance of winning Georgia, but Biden gives Trump a 67 percent chance of winning North Carolina.

If Joe Biden wins one of the three states, he will likely win the presidential election, according to the NYT.

Stat expert: “You should ignore them”

Up to 100 million Americans have voted early, and most of them have voted Democrats. Instead, Republicans are overrepresented among voters who vote on the spot, meaning that ballot boxes at polling stations can give a skewed picture of the bottom line.

America’s most famous statistician, Nate Silver, says polls generally shouldn’t be given too much energy at polls.

– I would ignore them. With all the possible ways to vote, they are probably not adequate to predict the outcome, he tells CNN.

This is how the states voted in the last elections

This is how the states voted in the last elections. In the blue states, the Democrats won. In the Reds the Republicans won.

That is the position in the vote count right now.

The interactive chart below shows a status that won when two major media companies declared victory.

Expected results according to US media:

TRIUMPH:

Kentucky, according to AP.

Indiana, according to CNN.

West Virginia, according to AP.

South Carolina, according to AP.

Oklahoma, according to CNN and ABC.

Tennessee, according to Bloomberg.

Alabama, according to AP.

Mississippi, according to AP.

BIDEN:

Vermont, according to AP and CNN.

Virginia, according to AP.

Massachusetts, CNN.

Maryland, according to CNN.

Delaware, according to NBC.

Rhode Island, according to AP.

New Jersey, according to AP.

Connecticut, according to AP.

Illinois, according to AP.

District of Columbia, according to CNN.

Then the polling stations close

24.00:

Indiana (E)

Kentucky (E)

01.00:

Florida (E)

Georgia

Indiana (C)

Kentucky (C)

South Carolina

Virginia

Vermont

01.30:

North Carolina

Ohio

West virginia

02.00:

Alabama

Connecticut

Delaware

Florida (C)

Illinois

Kansas (C)

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan (E)

Mississippi

Missouri

New Hampshire ^

New Jersey

North Dakota (C)

Oklahoma

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Dakota (C)

Tennessee

Texas (C)

Washington dc

02.30:

Arkansas

03.00

Arizona

Colorado

Kansas (M)

Louisiana

Michigan (C)

Minnesota

Nebraska

New Mexico

New York

North Dakota (M)

South Dakota (M)

Texas (M)

Wisconsin

Wyoming

04.00:

Idaho (M)

Iowa

Montana

Nevada

Oregon (M)

Utah

05.00

California

Idaho (P)

Oregon (P)

Washington

06.00

Alaska (A)

Hawaii

07.00:

Alaska (H)

* The numbers in parentheses refer to the time zone in which the Länder are located.

E = Eastern Standard Time Zone

C = Central time zone

M = Mountain time zone

P = Pacific time zone

A = Alaska standard time zone

READ MORE: Direct report 24 hours
READ MORE: How US Elections Affect Your Economy: It Will “Shake”
READ MORE: Voters divided on the handling of the American crown

see more

Here are the preliminary figures after the closing of the first polling stations.

US correspondent Frida Wallnor on the spot



[ad_2]