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Norway is struggling to overcome a rampant spread of the infection and has recently introduced several new restrictions; on Monday, for example, requirements for oral protection were introduced in Oslo’s public transport.
Now the National Institute of Public Health has published his latest report “National Corona Report”, which is a forecast of the development of corona infection in the long term. The result is worrying, writes the Verdens Gang.
According to FHI, all counties, municipalities, have a 50 percent risk of contracting more than 20 new infections per 100,000 residents in the next two weeks and are therefore on the red list. The limit set by FHI for the quarantine obligation is thus reached, which means that returnees from a “red” country must isolate themselves in their homes for ten days.
Oslo has the largest spread of the infection at the moment, with 44 people infected in the last 24 hours. The number of infected in the last two weeks amounts to 619 people, according to statistics from the health authority of the municipality of Oslo. Most new cases are between the ages of 20 and 29.
Health Minister Bent Høie (right) has expressed great concern about the growing spread of the infection in the capital, which the government fears will spread to the rest of the country. The fear appears to be justified, according to the FHI report. It shows that Oslo along with Viken and Vestland were “red” weeks 37-38 in their last weekly report.
The Health Ministry now wants Oslo to introduce more restrictions, such as a ban on private gatherings of more than five people, a ban on non-educational events in colleges and universities, and a requirement that nightclubs close their entrance at 10 p.m.
If the infection continues to spread in Norway at the current rate, FHI estimates that the peak will be reached by the end of 2020, putting great pressure on medical care. The probability that more than 500 patients will need respiratory treatment around the turn of the year is estimated to be 40 percent and 30 percent for more than 1,000 patients.
FHI has also analyzed people’s movement patterns by analyzing Telenor’s data traffic. It shows no signs of a reduction in the way people move, despite more Norwegians working from home.
The report shows calculations On the evolution of the so-called R number which was below 1 in March when Norway introduced strict restrictions, at the beginning of May the number increased slightly and now in September it is 1.22.
The R number, the reproductive number, indicates to how many people, on average, an infected individual transmits the infection.
Read more: Oslo files mouth protection demands after government criticism
