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Fate gave Donald Trump a free chance to turn the tide of the presidential race.
Amy Coney Barrett, a mother of seven, can help Trump keep his job.
But it also represents a risk.
It is an irony of fate that cancer took Ruth Baders Ginsburg’s life just weeks before the presidential election. She, who has been the shining star of a liberal interpretation of the Constitution in the Supreme Court. She is now replaced by Amy Coney Barrett, who on paper at least is the exact opposite.
Not only that.
It may also be the small deciding factor that tips the election in Donald Trump’s favor.
Before Ginsburg’s death, the election campaign focused primarily on two things. Trump’s less successful handling of the corona pandemic and the economic crisis triggered by the ravages of the virus.
A crisis that ended almost all the economic success that Trump had achieved during his first four years in the White House and that he expected to re-elect him.
Now the focus has shifted to the dispute over the Supreme Court. A much more grateful question for Trump.
But even if Republicans have the majority in the Senate required to win Amy Coney Barrett’s approval, she must undergo in-depth hearings in the Senate where her conduct and her short history as a judge will come under critical scrutiny.
Not least, Democrats will focus on their strongly conservative views on abortion, for example. They will also ask close questions about your membership in a small religious group, the People of Praise. Some would call it a sect.
Photo: AP TT NEWS AGENCY
Amy Coney Barrett and Trump.
Fighting against the wind
Evangelical Christians are an important electorate for Trump. It is important that they go to the polls. A very good argument is to get another conservative vote on the Supreme Court, either before Election Day or after Election, but before Trump leaves the White House on January 20 in case he loses.
The battle for Amy Coney Barrett could give new energy to Trump’s election campaign in a situation where he has struggled with strong headwinds during the spring and summer.
If you get the 48-year-old former law professor approved before Election Day, you can collect another benefit.
Trump has spent the past few months undermining confidence in the outcome of the early elections by stating that the only way he can lose is if the opposition cheats. You have flagged mail ballots as a scam, despite all the evidence that it is not.
In other words, no one will be surprised if there is a legal dispute over the outcome of the elections.
In that case, it is likely to be decided in the Supreme Court, just like between Al Gore and George W Bush in 2000. By bringing in another conservative judge, Trump hopes to increase the chances of a ruling in his favor.
But creating a fast lane for Amy Coney Barrett also carries risks for Trump.
Joe Biden has already begun to portray her as a threat to a number of rights, including the public health insurance introduced by former President Barack Obama, Obamacare.
Photograph: Carolyn Kaster / TT NYHETSBYRÅN
Biden.
Break the promise
In previous statements, he has criticized Conservative HD Chief Justice John Roberts for interpreting the law too generously when he approved health insurance. A new Obamacare-related case comes to court a week after the presidential election. Democrats will do anything to intimidate voters into losing their health insurance in the middle of a pandemic.
It can act as fuel for many to go to the polls and vote for Joe Biden.
Given that Barrett is only 48 years old and judges are appointed for life, he will be able to propel America in a conservative direction for decades to come.
Already today, the majority of Americans, according to recent opinion polls, believe that he is the next president who should be allowed to appoint Ginsburg’s successor, regardless of whether it is Trump or Biden.
Pushing for quick approval can cause some of the voters who haven’t made up their minds to curse.
This is in addition to the fact that Republicans with Barrett’s nomination are breaking a promise they made before the 2016 election when they refused to approve Barack Obama’s candidate for the Supreme Court on the grounds that they should wait until after elections and therefore letting the American people have their say. At that time, there were nine months left until the elections. It is now just over a month.
Still, Trump is more likely to win more by appointing the judge than he risks losing.
Photo: J. Scott Applewhite / TT NEWS AGENCY
Supreme Court of the United States. Following the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Trump nominated Amy Coney Barret as her successor. In the picture, Ginsburg is sitting in the bottom row, second most to the right.
Photo: AP TT NEWS AGENCY
Trump announced his nomination of Amy Coney Barrett.
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