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Until now, the right to abortion has been almost completely absent from the US election campaign.
But the dispute over who should be able to appoint a new judge to the Supreme Court changes that.
President Trump hopes it will benefit him, but at the same time the problem is mined earth.
Any hopes that Democrats might have had that the president and his Republican Party, for decency reasons, would wait to appoint a new judge until it is known who won the presidential election was quickly shattered.
Although Republicans before the 2016 election argued that Barack Obama should not appoint a new judge with nine months to go, they have now changed their minds and believe that it is perfectly fine for Trump to make a nomination with less than two months to go. .
The new situation that has arisen with the death of the legendary Ruth Bader Ginsburg means that issues that have not received much attention in the electoral movement until now end up high on the agenda.
This includes the right to abortion.
Photo: TT
Ruth Bader Ginsburg turned 87.
One of Trump’s electoral promises last time was to appoint Supreme Court justices who are against free abortion. When you now have the opportunity to appoint the third HD judge during your first four years in the White House, there are many indications that it will be a woman and a person who has come to be known for being “pro-life”, that is. emphasize the rights of the unborn fetus over those of women.
For many of Trump’s top voters, this is a very important issue. One that increases your commitment to going to vote.
Play with fear
Similarly, Democrats will attempt to capitalize on their constituents’ fear that Trump, through his nomination, will renounce the right to free abortion that has existed since the 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling.
Even with some liberal electorate, the abortion issue will serve as an energy boost for motivation to vote on Election Day.
Therefore, it also represents a risk for Donald Trump if he nominates a candidate who clearly has an anti-abortion profile and who the opposite side may pose as a threat to this right.
Photo: TT
United States: President Donald Trump.
Favorite candidate Amy Comey Barnett, now a lower court judge, is portrayed by liberals as a threat to abortion rights. Privately, she is “pro-life” and has said she believes it will increase the right of states to restrict the right to abortion.
Such an election would be applauded by Trump supporters, but at the same time it would increase the risk of opponents getting water at their mill.
Barnett is also seen to be firmly rooted in the conservative camp on another controversial issue, the right to health insurance. With it in HD, Democrats say it increases the risk that the court will repeal or further restrict Obama’s health care reform, which has always been a red curtain for Donald Trump.
Even if the president keeps his promise to quickly nominate a candidate, he is unlikely to have time to be approved before the election. The approval process, which includes interrogations in the Senate, typically takes more than two months. There is just over a month to go until Election Day on November 3.
Risk of desertion
This means that Trump, even if he loses the election, may have time for his candidate to be approved before he formally leaves the White House around January 20 of next year. Which would be extremely controversial in the eyes of many, but especially Democrats.
Paradoxically, the biggest potential risk for Trump is that his own party mates throw bats in the wheel. So far, two Republican senators, Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and Susan Collins (Maine), have said they do not want to vote for a new HD judge before the presidential election and before it is clear who will occupy the White House for the next term. four years.
If two more Republican senators follow that line, Trump will no longer have the majority he needs in the Senate. One possible defector is Mitt Romney, who was the only Republican who at one point voted to leave Trump in the Supreme Court trial earlier this year.
Overall, Trump probably has the most to gain from the upcoming Supreme Court battle. It takes the focus off your handling of the corona pandemic. Anything that makes voters think about something else benefits Trump.
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