Mellin: Every second voter would vote conservatively if there were elections today



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It is clear that the voters are unhappy and want something new

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Every second Swede would vote for the three conservative parties if there were elections today.

According to the new Aftonbladet / Demoskop voter barometer, dissatisfaction with the ruling parties is deep and the demand for something new is great.

The acute crisis in the crown temporarily strengthened confidence in the main and largest party in government, the Social Democrats. But that’s history.

The voter barometer for September indicates deep and widespread dissatisfaction with the ruling parties in Swedish politics.

Almost one in two Swedes, just over 49 percent, would vote for one of the three parties on the right, the moderates, the Christian Democrats or the Swedish Democrats. All except KD are at a higher level today than they were in the elections two years ago. According to Demoskop, they would have a good chance of having their own majority in the Riksdag, according to Demoskop.

The moderate leader Ulf Kristersson would thus become prime minister, provided he is prepared to build on the support of the Swedish Democrats and Jimmie Åkesson.

However, Stefan Löfven (S) will find it difficult to remain prime minister if the result of this voter poll were an electoral result.

Both ruling parties are losing support and together they are currently not gathering more than 30 percent of the electorate.

Discontent, or mistrust, with the government’s ability to lead the country is thus extensive and it cannot be said that there is relief on that front, seen from the point of view of the ruling parties. The figures are, therefore, a horror reading, especially for the Social Democrats, who failed to manage the trust that citizens showed them during the onset of the crown crisis.

Image does not get brighter if the field of vision is broadened to include the government’s two coalition parties, the Center Party and the Liberals.

Together, the four cooperation parties gather just over four out of ten voters, clearly less than in the 2018 elections. The only party that has received more support since the elections is the Center Party.

It is true that it is possible to form a government with such limited support. But not when the total resistance is as great as in the current measurement.

A basic question is whether the voters really want to steer Sweden in a much more conservative direction than it is at present. Or if the high support for the conservative bloc is rather an expression of discontent with those who are now in power. I believe in the second more than the first.

One important reason may be that government prime ministers appear haunted as soon as they appear. Not that they find it exhilarating and challenging to lead Sweden, even in a difficult time.

In various measures In a row, two parties have been under the block of four percent of the vote that decides whether or not a party enters the Riksdag. They are the Liberals and the Green Party.

For liberals, the situation is completely dark. The change of party leader just over a year ago has not given any impetus, quite the contrary. If Nyamko Sabuni wants to continue his party as a parliamentary party, decisive efforts are required that it does not seem likely that he can make. Self-confidence is already shattered.

The recipe is not simple either, it requires a battery of action.

For the Green Party, the situation is not bright either. It is the smallest party in the Riksdag, trust in the two spokesmen is low.

The upcoming change of one of the spokesperson positions when Isabella Lövin resigns could, under the best of circumstances, be a boost. But the candidates discussed so far don’t seem to be able to do that.

The image of Swedish politics right now it’s bleak. Someter have power are damaged and enjoy significantly less confidence than in the last elections.

The ones who could possibly take power, the conservative parties, are a sad trio. Two of them, M and KD, went to the polls to minimize the influence of the third: the Swedish Democrats.

Since then, they have changed and the reason is one. At present, it seems that power is out of reach unless Kristersson and Thor ally to a greater extent than the lukewarm collaboration that exists today, with Jimmie Åkesson.

It remains to be seen what, or if, life shakes in Swedish politics.


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Of: Lena Mellin

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