Sunday Showdown at the 102nd PGA Championship


This column is a rap-hitter article to give you the stats you need to make informed PGA DFS picks for your DraftKings + FanDuel daily fantasy lineups and give you some recommendations for the PGA Championship. On a typical Showdown prize draw, DraftKings will offer upwards of $ 50,000 to make first for Round 2 and 3 Showdown and sometimes up to $ 100,000 for the final match contests. They also deliver long weekend contests, offering $ 25,000 for the first time for most weekends. Lastly, FanDuel also tried to enter the weekend-long and final round competitions, offering up to $ 10,000 and $ 5,000 first.


Previous round of comments

Justin Thomas gave all golf fans something to cheer about as he started the day at +1 and came to -4 through the eighth hole. Unlike him is his game partner Jordan Spieth played exactly the same seven holes at 4-over, as Thomas had a lead of eight shots on Spieth for the day. However, Thomas’ run ended up at eight, where he could not get up and down for par and finished 3-for his remaining 11 holes.

A few others came out well, as well Jon Rahm en Rory McIlory, but both disappeared as Thomas did. One that had not disappeared Collin Morikawa, whose two bogeys in the middle of the back nine did not prevent him from placing a solid 5-under 65. He just sits two backs from Dustin Johnson. He is just one of 18 golfers who are within four of the lead on Sunday.

The expected weather for tomorrow’s round

The exact same weather we have had the past two days is expected again for Sunday.

Previous Round Stat Review

Driving accuracy did not improve in round 1, but by looking at who is first, a man who hit 42% of his fairways, it was perhaps not as imperative as people thought to start the week. The field only stores them on a clip just above 50%, while the greens only store on a clip of 58%.

Bogey Free Rounds in Round 3:

  1. Patrick Cantlay (36 straight holes without bogey)

BOB leaders through for round 3

  1. Dustin Johnson and Scottie Scheffler (8)
  2. Ian Poulter, Bryson DeChambeau, Collin Morikawa (7)
  3. Cameron Champ, Justin Thomas, Shane Lowry (6)

Click here for the full list of statistics!

Strokes Gained Ball Striking Vs. Putting

Matthew Wolff’s putter finally found some traction in round 3, winning nearly a quarter of a stroke. In contrast, Luke List’s putter absolutely required him in the third round, losing almost three strokes. He takes the mantle as a top golfer when hitting / putting off discrepancy, while Wolff checks in the second end. Keith Mitchell, Daniel Berger en Paul Casey rounded out the top five.

Strokes got ball Striking round difference

Kevin Kisner was the big winner on the day, found his ball-striking striker and won almost four strokes more in round 3 than he did in round 2. Kurt Kitayama, Phil Mickelson, Webb Simpson en Harold Varner III also performed much better in round 3 than in round 2. Patrick Cantlay also not far behind, shows that as this tournament goes on, the better he gets. I’m all in on Cantlay for tomorrow’s lay.


Example of slate

Lock time

10 am EST

Example of competition

DraftKings:

  • DraftKings is offering $ 200,000 at first with $ 600,000 guaranteed for Round 4

FanDuel:

  • $ 10,0000 up to first and $ 50,000 guaranteed for the final round prize draw.

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General lead strategy

Since there are heaps of cash on the line tomorrow, it felt imperative to re-establish that there are finish points allocated to golfers for tomorrow’s round. That typically bubbles the property of the top 15 or so golfers, so if you’re looking to make a difference, take a look at the Leaderboard a bit.

Top 10 breakdown and pick (s)

Cameron Champ is here to stay, or so it seems. Both he and Tour rookie Scottie Scheffler are closest to Dustin Johnson, just one behind. Johnson has done incredibly well with his putts, leading the entire field in strokes set this week. Casey, one of Friday’s big movers, had a seven foot for par at 18 to stay 2 behind and was able to make it to a terrible second shot. Morikawa was the empty man and big mover today, unlike Johnson, carded a 5-under 65 and is in a tie for fourth with Brooks Koepka.

Collin Morikawa ($ 9,000)

Since Spieth is so bad now, I have to go all-in on Morikawa and Cantlay before people claim her as their own. Although, by ownership percentages, it seems most already catching on to them. However, Morikawa will play incredibly well at $ 9,000 and up again, just like Johnson, who is only $ 300 more. There will undoubtedly be some ownership bubbles on top, and choosing one that is low-ownership that tops the list with a good round tomorrow will be the most critical roster spot. However, Morikawa gives that profit capital above, and with how well his ball has been striking, you know he will have a lot of bird watching tomorrow.

Stud as a value pick outside the Top 10

Patrick Cantlay ($ 8,700)

Cantlay has 36 holes in a major free throw. If that’s not an indication of form, I’m not sure what is. He has been terrible with his putter, and if he had not been, he would have been there just to test Johnson for the lead. Still only six places behind the lead and only four places behind the top 10, Cantlay will need 64 to get there. With how he has played, however, I think he has it in him.

Snow Pick outside the Top 10

Keith Mitchell ($ 6,100)

With all the cameras on him today, play along Tiger Woods, Mitchell performed heavily as the best player of all time. He putted well, which has been a theme lately, but what’s important to see is that the ball comes striking. He won for the day more than two strokes, putting him in the position to approach his first top 20 in a major. One more good pit day and a solid ball-striking day and he will pay this meager salary in a quick second.

Format settings

Kevin Kisner ($ 6,900)

Adam Scott ($ 7,600)

Victor Perez ($ 6,000)

Matthew Wolff ($ 8,000)


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