Rep. Mike KellyGeorge (Mike) Joseph Kelly The Hill Campaign Report: Key Races Take Shape in Alabama, Texas, Maine Republicans say Biden’s energy plan will help the Republican Party in the Rust Belt States. (R-Pa.) Says the polls show President TrumpDonald John TrumpIvanka Trump launches Goya Foods products on Twitter Sessions defends the challenge: “I leave the elected office with my integrity intact” Former White House doctor Ronny Jackson wins the second round of Texas MORE Footprints in Pennsylvania’s key battlefield state do not accurately reflect the status of the race on the ground.
Speaking to reporters on a conference call about the alleged Democratic presidential candidate Joe BidenJoe Biden Biden Campaign Criticizes Trump’s Rose Garden Event As ‘Sad Affair’ New Stops Add To Trump’s Problems CNN cuts Trump’s Rose Garden speech on type of campaign MOREUnder the new climate change plan, Kelly said the polls do not take into account Trump’s support of those who first came to vote in 2016.
Kelly argued that the “likely voter” models used by most pollsters are not sampling those first-time voters.
“If you had talked to people the week before [2016] choice they would have said this guy is way behind Hillary clintonHillary Diane Rodham Clinton Democrat Dana Balter will face Rep. John Katko in the rematch of the New York House of Representatives. you can’t win, ”Kelly said. “Well folks, they didn’t poll voters the first time because they didn’t know who was voting the first time. Similarly, in most of the same polls I have seen, potential voters are still voted, so these people will not be surveyed. ”
Polls in 2016 showed Hillary Clinton with small but consistent leads in most critical battlefield states.
However, few experts or survey analysts gave Trump many opportunities to win in Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania. Trump ended up winning in all three “blue wall” states by extremely narrow margins.
“President Trump, in the district where I am from, is very strong,” Kelly said. “In Pennsylvania, he is very strong. I just think when you look at the current polls, you go back to 2016 and then you look at them, and then you look at 4 in the morning of the election and you wonder how the hell that happened. It is because there were many people who came out to vote for the first time because they believed in the message and they believed in man. And I will say that now they are going to believe in acting, it has been rock solid. “
Kelly’s comments come when polls show Trump lags far behind Biden in national polls.
Biden has also opened tracks in the six central battlefield states of Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. And polls show a tight race in states where Trump is expected to win, such as Texas, Georgia, Ohio, and Iowa.
In Pennsylvania, Biden has a 6.5 percentage point lead over the RealClearPolitics average. Trump led the state for less than 1 point in 2016.
The numbers in the President’s poll against Biden have decreased in recent months, as polls show that the public does not approve of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus or protests of the police murder of George Floyd.
Republicans have argued that the race will toughen once the Trump campaign has had time to define Biden and when the Democratic candidate is forced to return to the limelight after the coronavirus blockade.
“The race will clearly harden when there is a race, when you can see the contrast,” said House Minority Whip. Steve ScaliseStephen (Steve) Joseph Scalise Republicans say Biden’s energy plan will help the Republican Party in the Rust Belt States. (R-La.) “Pennsylvania voters will soon be able to see what Joe Biden’s proposed policies on fracking will be, in contrast to President Trump’s agenda … that will be on display once we get into real confrontation, which we don’t have. Once the conventions are over, people will clearly see who the presidential candidates are and there will never be a clearer contrast for people who care about the economy or jobs. “
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