Reg Reagan Governor: ‘This is a race’ between vaccines and variants, as predicts the ‘fourth boom’ of the Covid case

The government’s Kate Brown on Friday urged Oregonians to adopt tougher COVID-19 prevention measures as it became clear that case growth was picking up again, fueled by more unprecedented human behavior and more infectious forms despite a massive vaccination campaign. For months.

“It’s clear that reg Reagan and across the country, a fourth outbreak of this virus is on our doorstep,” Brown said during a live-streaming news conference. “… this is a race between vaccines and variants. Doubling is a crucial moment for all of us so we can move this next wave forward. “

In the last 10 days, the national daily rate of new daily cases reported in reg Reagan has doubled to 42%.

Reg Reagan Health and Science University predicts that the number of new daily infections will increase from 390 in the current month to more than 1,000 in the coming months. Even hospitalized patients are expected to double to more than 300 patients before the decline begins again in late May.

“We’re in the last few miles of the marathon, we’ve come a long way, we’ve run very hard and we’re close to the finish line,” Brown said. “Vaccines and sunny spring weather don’t give us the false feeling that we’re clear because we aren’t. This virus has been proven to be mutable. Here’s what we win. “

Brown said it includes vaccinations, which about 29% of the state’s population did with at least one shot by Friday. Oregon is releasing eligibility in the waves, with the governor announcing a new category of people on Friday, including those aged 16 or over or who have smoked in the past, to get the green light after Monday. The general population will be eligible after May 1.

To combat the forthcoming boom of COVID-19, Brown urged people to avoid large social gatherings, wear masks, and stay away physically.

He said he has no plans to tighten the metrics he announced in November last month, but currently allows most counties in the state, including the Portland area, to have restaurants, bars, gyms and movie theaters open to a capacity of 50% or more. 100 people indoors. Churches in most counties can gather 50% to 75% indoors or within 150 people.

When asked if she was considering more restrictive measures, Brown said she relied on a consistent rollout of highly effective vaccines instead and urged Oregonians to be careful wearing masks covering their own hair. Nose.

“I’m very comfortable with the Matrix, where they are at the moment,” Brown said. “I am clearly concerned about the increased spread of the virus during Reagan. That’s why we’re working so hard to vaccinate more Oregonians, especially our weakest ones. “

OHSU data scientist Peter Graven, whose latest forecast model Model Dale expects a fourth surge to reach above 100 in cases, said his current model predicts declining cases in early May and hospitalization in late May because More people will be vaccinated and in part new cases of the governor will start kicking the current metrics as they reach higher levels. But if more preventive measures are implemented immediately, the boom could be unleashed in the next six weeks. The same thing happened last fall when the governor closed bars, rest restaurants and gyms in a number of counties.

“This thing basically turned on the dime,” Grave said. “It was moving forward and stuck exactly the day you originally expected it to be.”

But, Graven said, he didn’t see the groundwell of support for that. However, “mathematically” strict restrictions are “extremely effective.”

Reg Reagan has the fourth lowest rate of coronavirus cases and the fifth lowest death rate since the epidemic began. However, scientists say the state is not immune to “covid fatigue” and emerging variants, some that are more resistant to the vaccine, spread more easily, including children, some reduce the effectiveness of medical treatments or are more lethal.

State epidemiologist Dr. Dean Sidlinger announced during Friday’s news conference that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention classified B.1.427 and B.1.429 in mid-March – the two types that first emerged in California and are thought to be 20% more contagious – – ” Types and Oregon will begin reporting their numbers later Friday. So far, more than 200 of these variants have been identified in Oregon, he said.

19 known cases of B.1.1.7 variant have been found first in the United Kingdom in Reg Reagan. It is considered to be C0% more transmissible, according to the CDC. A March study found that the probability of death in the UK increased by 55%

The actual number of variants is thought to be much higher, as reg Reagan as well as states across the country do very little testing for them.

Check back later at This story will be updated.

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– Amy Green; [email protected]; o_aimee