Brazil has the highest contagion rate for new coronaviruses in the world



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ORA study presented by Imperial College London shows that Brazil is the country in the world with the highest rate of contagion in Covid-19 (disease caused by the new coronavirus) among 48 countries analyzed.

The conclusions of this study in relation to Brazil show that, on average, each person infected infects three others. The R0 indicator was earlier this week at 2.81. The higher this index, the higher the transmission speed and the greater the risk of a possible overload in the health system.

In several countries around the world, governments have considered that mobility restrictions can only be relaxed without risk to the health system if the number of reproduction is less than 1.

The 48 countries that are part of this study at Imperial College were selected considering the fact that they account for at least 100 deaths from the new coronavirus since the beginning of pandemic and at least ten deaths in each of the previous two weeks.

In Germany, considered one of the most successful nations in controlling the disease, the amount of reproduction calculated by MRC is 0.8 (with a range of 0.65 to 1.14).

Brazil is one of the nine countries in which infection for the new coronavirus It’s in trajectory ascending The same is true in Canada, India, Ireland, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Poland and Russia.

On the other hand, and based on the calculations, the transmission of the new coronavirus is falling in Italy, France, Spain and the Dominican Republic. In 23 other nations, including Germany, Portugal, Belgium, Colombia and USES, the trend stabilizes. The same study indicates that the trend is uncertain in 12 nations, including Argentina, South Korea, Denmark, Japan, and Saudi Arabia.

The same study from Imperial College makes projection of deaths for the following week, which is based on the number of deaths reported, which is considered more trustworthy than confirmed cases (where the evidence policy can have a big impact).

In this sense, along with the United States, Brazil is one of the only two countries with a forecast of more than 5,000 deaths for the next week, and the trend is the growth of infections.

The 47 researchers who signed this work also point out that the precision of the estimates varies according to the quality of the registry and the dissemination of data in each country. Furthermore, if the transmission estimates reflect the epidemiological situation at the time of infection death cases

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