Almost three decades have passed since a Democrat won Georgia in a presidential election.
Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton led the state in the 1992 election.
But a new poll in Georgia indicates that the state’s 16 electoral votes are at stake in the race between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden.
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According to a Monmouth University poll conducted July 23-27 and released Wednesday, the president and the alleged Democratic candidate are at a 47 percent impasse among registered voters in Georgia, with 3 percent saying that they will vote for the libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and an undecided 3 percent.
The poll shows that among the smallest group of voters likely to vote in the general election, Trump has a slight advantage. A likely high-turnout model indicates the president with 48 percent support and Biden with 47 percent. A likely low turnout projection shows Trump with 49 percent support and the former vice president with 46 percent.
An average of the most recent polls conducted in Georgia compiled by Real Clear Politics indicates that the president has a narrow margin of 2.3 percent.
Trump won Georgia by 5 percentage points over 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
“There is a lot of parity between the two candidates. Trump has a padlock on his base, but Biden is doing much better than Clinton in key swing areas, “said director of the Monmouth University Survey Institute Patrick Murray.
While polls show a closed contest in Georgia, Biden’s campaign has so far not come up with commercials in the state, according to Advertising Analytics, a leading political ad tracking company.
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In regularly scheduled Senate elections in Georgia, poll shows Republican incumbent David Perdue has a 49-43 percent advantage over Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff, who narrowly missed a 2017 Congressional special election that was the election of the most expensive House in history.
There is also a special election for the Senate on November 3 in the race to complete the last two years of the mandate of former Republican Senator John Isakson, who resigned in December for health reasons.
Republican Governor Brian Kemp named Republican Kelly Loeffler as Isakson’s temporary replacement. He is running in the November elections to complete the rest of Isakson’s term. So is Republican Rep. Doug Collins, whom President Trump hoped would be appointed as temporary replacement for Isakson. Several Democrats are also running.
The survey indicates that Loeffler leads the group with 26 percent, followed by Collins with 20 percent. Democrat Matt Lieberman, the son of former Democrat-turned-independent senator Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, is third with 14 percent.
If no candidate exceeds 50 percent in the November 3 special election, a runoff between the top two finishers will take place on January 5.
Monmouth University used live phone operators to question 402 registered voters in Georgia. The overall sampling error for the survey is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
