The Monmouth poll found that 4 percent of the polls have not yet been decided in their support, while 2 percent have returned Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and 1 percent have returned Howie Hawkins of the Green Party.
While the new poll indicates that Trump’s summer observation may be off course, it gives Biden another tangible national lead in the presidential nominating conventions later this month. Democrats will hold their virtual convention next week, with Republicans planning to gather the week after distance. Presidential candidates have historically seen bumps in their poll numbers following their party’s nominating convention, but it’s unclear whether this year’s online events will produce a similar uptick.
There are other signs of stabilization in the race, apparently tipped in Biden’s favor, thanks in large part to voters’ dissatisfaction with Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic. A full half of those surveyed still said they were “completely unlikely” to support Trump, unchanged from June, compared with 40 percent who say the same of Biden. And Biden has a slight edge among the polls who said they are sure to vote for him, with 39 percent saying that compared to 35 percent for Trump, also roughly the same as at the end of June.
The number of respondents who said they liked Biden’s unfavorable views has increased by 3 points since June, while the number of questioners who hold the same unfavorable views of the President has dropped by one point. The number of respondents with favorable views of the president climbed 2 points, to 40 per cent, but still remained under water on demand, with 54 per cent of the polls answering that they had unfavorable views of the president.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted by telephone from 6 to 10 August among 868 adults in the United States, with results based on 785 registered voters. The survey has an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
