Chamber of Deputies Nancy Pelosi on Thursday said she believes House Democrats will increase their majority in the November election by “double digits”, a win that would be a blow to Republicans as they try some of the Trump district sit back to win lost in 2018 and serve as mandate for Democrats, who would get a rather historic fatigue in the chamber.
Pelosi made the comments on “The Ax Files” podcast, hosted by David Axelrod, the former senior adviser to President Barack Obama.
“I know you’re sure you’ll win seats in the House?” Axelrod asked Pelosi.
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“Yes, sure,” replied the speaker. “If the election was today. Everything today is about … …”
“How many seats do you think you would win?” Axelrod said.
“A lot … I know the most pessimistic view, and it’s very good. See, I’m always going through the most pessimistic view,” Pelosi said, before Axelrod pressured her to open up what that view was. “Double digits. I will not go beyond that.”
Pelosi went on to say, “My responsibility is to protect the interior, to protect the majority we have. They have been courageous. They have taken votes for where they should respond in places where they may not be so obvious. are about why. And my goal is to protect them. That we will have a Democratic majority. “
Such a win would not be uncommon, even if Democrats now have a 235-199 majority in the House, which means they play defense in many swing districts. In the first two years of President Obama’s first term, Democrats held a massive 257-178 majority in the House. And from 2015-2017, Republicans had a 247-188 majority.
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But if they manage to win 10 or more seats, Democrats would still have an edge that would be atypically wide in recent years. For 2009, the most recent majority of the Chamber of Deputies of 245 seats or more was held by Democrats in the 103rd Congress from 1993 to 1995.
That session was the last year of four decades of dominance in the House by Democrats. They held the majority in the chamber from 1955 to 1995, with their total number of seats dipping below 245 only twice after 1959. In recent years, Republicans have been able to expand more parity in the House race, and the majority secured in 10 of the last 13 elections.
Pelosi also stressed that victory in November “is nothing to take for granted.”
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“We’ve won 40 seats lately, 31 of them were in districts that Trump had won. Well, he was not on the ballot, so not all of his people came out,” she said. “He’s on the ballot this time, so some of his people are coming out. We won by small margins in those districts, so I assume nothing. We’re mobilizing.”
However, Republicans have compiled what they say is one of their strongest classes of House candidates ever and have expressed confidence that they can take the majority by 2020, especially given the number of Trump districts in which House Democrats play defense.
“People are noticing that Republicans have built our strongest and most compelling class of congressional candidates in history,” said The Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC dedicated to selecting Republican candidates. tweeted earlier this year. “200 Republican women. 180 minority candidates. 250 veterans … and just 17 seats to take back the majority.”