On The Trail: Trump presents vision of the suburbs outdated decades

President TrumpDonald John TrumpThe Memo: Democrats pitch Biden as the back-to-normal candidate Obama congratulates Biden with formal nomination Jill Biden gives personal portrait of man Joe MORE marks a vision of the suburbs as part of his retelling message that she paints as a relic of the 1950s instead of the rapidly changing areas they really are in 2020.

If the suburbs were once the lily-white bastions of homogeneous picket fences, nuclear families and “prominent housewives,” in Trump terminology, they are now just as diverse as the nation at large.

“The suburbs have been rapidly diversifying for three decades, and most suburban ‘housewives’ work full time,” said Cal Jillson, a political scientist at Southern Methodist University.

Less than two-thirds of suburban residents counted in the 2010 census were white, below 81 percent in 1990, according to Brookings Institution demographer William Frey.

The 2010 census showed for the first time that more Black Americans live in the suburbs around the nation’s 100 largest cities than in the cities themselves. Majorities of Hispanics and Asian Americans have lived in the suburbs for several decades.

“This is an imaginary suburb that Trump is talking about,” Frey said. ‘Today, the suburbs are just like the rest of America. They are rich and poor and black and white and Spanish. ”

While its poll numbers have plummeted and the coronavirus pandemic has gripped the nation, Trump has sought a new approach for leading voters and suburban women, a 21st-century version of Richard Nixon’s 1968 law and order campaign .

He has warned in recent weeks about an invasion of the suburbs, as former vice president Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Memo: Democrats pitch Biden as the back-to-normal candidate Obama congratulates Biden with formal nomination Jill Biden gives personal portrait of man Joe MORE oannimt Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerTrump apologizes to Susan B. Anthony vulnerable First Chamber Democrat asks unity: ‘Not on which side of the aisle we are’. Sunday shows example: Mail-in votes, USPS funding dominates political debate before conventions MORE‘s (DN.J.) wenplan.

“The ‘suburban housewife’ will vote for me. They want security and are happy that I ended the long-running program in which low-income homes would invade their neighborhood. Biden would reinstall it, in a larger form, with Corey [sic] Booker in leadership! “Trump wrote on Twitter last week.

“I’m glad to inform all the people who are living their Suburban Lifestyle Dream that you will no longer be worried or financially damaged by having low income homes built in your neighborhood,” Trump wrote in July. “Your house prices will go up based on the market, and crime will go down.”

Rather, he accused Bid on plans to end “Suburbs”. “

The convention by which Trump is mentioned is expected to highlight the tough-on-crime theme he has embraced since the 1980s, through his first convention when he warned of “American carnage”, and in recent protests after the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis.

It is a continuation of a pattern for Trump, who has constantly played to his core while rarely making exercises to groups from outside.

Mark and Patricia McCloskey, the St. Louis couple who threatened Black Lives Matters protesters with guns outside their home in St. Louis. Louis, are invited to speak.

But polls suggest leading voters do not side with the McCloskeys, suggesting that Trump’s approach is doomed to failure.

Two-thirds of suburban voters told pollsters from the Washington Post and ABC News last month that they think black people and other minorities do not receive equal treatment in the criminal justice system. Twenty-seven percent said they support the Black Lives Matter movement.

Trump has rightly worried about his performance in suburban areas, home to a majority of American voters.

Since 2004, no Republican has won the White House without winning the ballot by at least four percentage points – the share Trump scored in 2016, when he attended the election university while losing the popular vote. Mitt RomneyWillard (Mitt) Mitt RomneyHere are the high-profile Republicans who support Biden Colorado Secretary of State considering legal action against Trump, Postmaster General Romney: No way to spin US COVID-19 dead in a positive light MORE lost his challenge to president Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaObama Congratulates Biden on Formal Nomination Democrats Vs. Republicans in the race for ‘streamers’ White liberalism, Kamala Harris, and the symbols of race and status MAY in 2012 despite carrying suburban voters by two points.

Today, Trump loses the suburbs to Biden. A Washington Post-ABC poll released on the eve of the Democratic convention left Biden leading among electorate voters with a margin of 51 percent to 43 percent, an almost unusual gap in modern political history.

Trump’s appeal to leading voters is crucial to his chances of winning a second term. But his message is unlikely to resonate in the American suburbs he predicts, because it no longer exists.