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By Helge Rønning Birkelund, Free Trade Movement
Also read: Arne Strand: “The Center Party is in serious trouble”
The Progress Party left the government and was going to build itself in the opposition. It took immediate effect, but now the party is back where they were while they were still the ruling party. In the May poll by Opinion for the Free Trade Movement, Dagsavisen and ANB, the party receives 9.6 percent support, 5.5 percentage points less than in February.
FRP tax spokesperson Sylvi Listhaug admits these are not enough numbers for the party.
– Is not sufficient
– The trend that we see in many countries is that the main government parties are increasing their support in a crisis situation. At the same time, it is over a year for the next election, and we will work hard every day to convince voters that Frp has the best solutions to ensure safe business and jobs. Especially in the oil industry and in industry, says Frp MP Sylvi Listhaug to the Free Trade Movement.
She is clear about what the party’s focus areas will be in the future:
– In times of economic downturn, individuals and businesses will need to retain more of their own income. Therefore, lower taxes and fees will be even more important in the future. The health tails that have arisen as a result of the pandemic must disappear. It is about the life and health of people. It will also be important to talk about priorities in immigration and integration policy. And no less important is that in the future, Norway must put our own interests first, he adds.
Also read: Toll Parties Are Unleashing In New Oslo Poll
Electoral investigator for the Department of Social Research, Johannes Bergh, records that Frp has now lost everything the party was used to leaving the government.
– In the first place, it has happened because the party has been in the shadow of the right wing, which overcomes the crisis we are in. Right and Frp are the two parties in Norwegian politics that exchange voters as much as possible. When the right mobilizes, they gather voters only from Frp, Johannes Bergh tells the Free Trade Movement.
Graphics: Ole Palmstrøm
Good leadership
However, the electoral scientist is not sure how long this situation will persist.
– Right now is showing good leadership and winning it. But there is much that can be done for the elections in 2021. Things can change, he adds.
The right is the largest party in the country for the second consecutive month. The party has increased its turnover by 10 percentage points since January. The last time the distance between Right and Frp was as great as it was now in March 2013.
The other two government parties, the left and the KrF, must also find a place in the shadow of the right. KrF is below the threshold limit for the twelfth consecutive measurement. In the same period, the left has exceeded the barrier limit in just one measurement. At 2.7 percentage points, the left is far from the district mandate for this survey.
The four parties in the civic bloc, including Frp, would receive 74 seats, the same number as in the April poll, but 14 fewer than in the 2017 parliamentary elections.
Also Read: New Measurement: Full Oslo Support for Raymond for Strenuous Crown Measurements
SV more stable
The Labor Party is also a governing party that the people trust, and it has seen a steady increase in the “crown period.” If the May poll had been an electoral result, Ap, Sp and SV would only lack two terms for a pure majority, and would depend on MDG or Red to secure a majority.
SV is stability even in opinion measurements. The party is stable in the sixth, and this time it receives a support of 6.6.
– After many difficult years, SV has regained confidence since 2017 and has gained a strong base of voters who say they will continue to vote for us. At the same time, our membership has increased significantly. Both sides indicate that we have a good opportunity to advance further in the parliamentary elections, SV leader Audun Lysbakken tells the Free Trade Movement.
– The most important thing for SV is to fight against increasing inequality and resolve the climate crisis. With the economic crisis and rising unemployment, we may face an explosion in social inequality. We will use all voices to fight for just solutions to the crises we face, he adds.
The Center Party, on the other hand, has been bleeding lately. The party’s participation is the lowest since December 2018, but it is still 1.7 percentage points higher than in the 2017 parliamentary elections.
The last time the gap between the Labor Party and the Center Party was as wide as it is now in January 2019, at 14.6 percentage points. Until the end of December, the difference was less than three percentage points.
Red is also having problems and is below the threshold for the third consecutive measurement. MDG, on the other hand, has been above the limit for the last eleven measurements.
Data about the survey:
The survey was conducted by Opinion in the period from May 5 to 10. May based on 970 phone calls. The margin of error varies from 1 to 3 percentage points.
Support percentage (change of brackets from April):
Ap: 26.7 (+1.0)
Right: 28.3 (+1.0)
Frp: 9.6 (-2.0)
Sp: 12.0 (-1.7)
SV: 6.6 (+0.7)
Left: 2.7 (-0.3)
KrF: 3.6 (+0.6)
ODM: 5.6 (+0.9)
Red: 3.7 (+0.1)
Other: 1.3 (-0.1)
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