US Presidential Election: – May Give Trump a Mercy Blow

For every vote now counted in the United States, the situation seems to become increasingly contradictory.

In Arizona, the leadership of Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is shrinking. In Georgia and Pennsylvania, the leadership of US President Donald Trump is shrinking.

Both face a relentless task: If one of the candidates wins two of these states, they also win the presidential election.

You can give Trump mercy

In 2016, Trump won the historically democratic industrial state of Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes. The victory was decisive in the fight against Hillary Clinton, and it can be decisive again in the fight against Joe Biden.

Since election night, Trump has led in Pennsylvania, but the lead has shrunk sharply in line with the mail-in vote count.

On Thursday afternoon, Trump leads the state with 50.63 percent of the vote, against Biden’s 48.22 percent. The advantage is about 164,000 votes, but the state has the advantage of counting about 763,000 votes by mail, according to the Philadelphia Inquirer.

They can deal a decisive blow to Trump’s hope of re-election. Of the mail-in votes that have been counted so far, 77 percent of them have gone in favor of Biden.

For Trump, the situation in Pennsylvania is very clear: if he loses here, he also loses the White House.

Bad news from Trump

There is also bad Trump news from Georgia, where the president’s leadership has shrunk significantly in the past 24 hours. Currently, the president leads with just 18,000 votes, out of a total of 4.8 million votes cast.

Trump currently has 49.57 percent support in the state, compared to 49.29 percent support for Biden.

Here, too, they are awaiting the results of some 140,000 unspoken postal votes from, among others, Fulton County.

Here, too, mail-in votes have pointed in a clear direction: toward Biden’s victory.

About 80 percent of the mail-in votes in this county have gone in favor of Biden. If that percentage were applicable to the entire state, Biden could, in theory, bypass Trump and win Georgia’s eleventh electorate.

But Biden is not dependent on winning Georgia.

God Trump-trend

If the Democratic presidential candidate loses Georgia, in theory Arizona should win.

Both Fox News and the Associated Press (AP) believe that Biden has already won the state, but there are still 450,000 unresolved votes in the state.

And by the count, Biden’s lead over Trump has diminished.

The current trend in Arizona is bad news for Biden.

Trump needs at least 57 percent of the tacit votes in his favor, and that’s roughly the same percentage of votes that he has won in the latest sets of results that have been announced.

Will stop counting

The president of the United States, Donald Trump, has already declared the winner of Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina. North Carolina is likely to win, but it’s too early to announce a winner in Pennsylvania and Georgia.

As mentioned, trends are not good news for Trump either.

And that’s exactly why the Trump campaign has filed lawsuits against multiple states. In some states, like Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania, it requires the courts to stop voting.

In Wisconsin, the Trump campaign requires courts to order a recount, but historically, a recount does not have the effect Trump might want.

In 2016, a referendum was held in Wisconsin, following pressure from Jill Stein, a presidential candidate for the Green Party. The result of the count was negligible. He widened Donald Trump’s margin of victory by just 131 votes, writes the New York Times.

Now Trump is losing Wisconsin by about 20,000 votes.

Will go to the Supreme Court

And on election night, Trump himself argued that he would go to the Supreme Court to stop the vote counting.

But for Trump to stop the count, there must be a lawsuit that goes through federal court and then through the Supreme Court, Associate Professor Hilde Restad at Bjørknes Høyskole explains to Dagbladet.

– Does Trump have a chance to stop him?

– The problem is that there have been trials to stop the count in the Supreme Court before, and then it has been very close. But now Trump has a new Supreme Court justice, Amy Coney Barrett, so he probably hopes she can help, Restad says.

Such urgent decisions in the Supreme Court should be able to be made relatively quickly, according to Restad.

– What happens if Trump stops counting?

– It’s very serious. Then there is a president who has been signaling for four years that he is not interested in respecting the will of the people and uses dirty tricks to prevent the voices of the voters from being heard, says Restad.

– Sits inside

Professor Geir Stenseth from the UiO Private Law Institute tells Dagbladet that it is theoretically possible for the Supreme Court to reconsider the president’s wish.

– The last time this happened, there was a subordinate court that said that the deadline for the counting of the votes could be postponed. The decision was appealed to the Supreme Court, where the result was four to four votes, and so the subordinate court’s decision remained, Stenseth says.

It also notes that the new judge, Amy Coney Barret, has been in office since the last round on the Supreme Court.

– Now that you have Barrett, one can imagine that he will try the case again. But I don’t want to believe that it will prevail, even with Barrett on the bench. The reason for this is that it will be a long time before the Supreme Court rejects the votes that have already been counted. Then they will refuse to accept votes that are otherwise legally cast, he says.