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In a Dagbladet post today, Nils Vibe writes about what he believes to be “some of the dumbest things I’ve ever done in my entire career.”
Vibe was an employee of Norsk Gallup from 1996 to 2002 and was director of the Department of Statistics and Methodology.
With VG as a client, he escaped in 2000 through an opinion poll in which voters were asked which party they would vote for if Jens Stoltenberg were the leader.
CANCELLED: Nils Vibe says he has regretted missing the action that gave this announcement. Fax: VG
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The advertisement that followed on VG stated that the Labor Party would gain 400,000 new voters with Stoltenberg as leader.
In hindsight, he believes this was not professionally maintained. Although at this time there was a struggle for leadership in the Labor Party, Stoltenberg had not yet become the party’s candidate for prime minister.
– Be very careful when asking hypothetical questions of this kind. There were no parliamentary elections until a year and a half ago and Jens Stoltenberg was not a candidate for prime minister when the question was asked, writes Vibe, who after joining Norwegian Gallup was employed, among other things, at the Nordic Institute for the Study of Innovation, Research and Education.
He is now retired and a member of the Labor Party.
Read the entire publication here.
You think the mistake repeats
Nils Vibe believes that TV 2 and his former employer, who changed their name to Kantar, are making the same mistake.
It refers to a poll in which voters are asked whether the chances of voting for the Labor Party are reduced or increased, if Jonas Gahr Støre is replaced by someone else as party leader and candidate for Prime Minister.
They have also asked whether the likelihood of voting for Labor increases if Jens Stoltenberg takes over as prime minister candidate and party leader. The survey that Kantar has done for TV2, gave the announcement:
UPPER PREVIOUS PART OF GALLUP: Nils Vibe.
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“Støre weakens Aps’ chances with 812,000 voters: people ask for Super-Jens” on TV2 on Wednesday.
According to Vibe, the problem again is that Jens Stoltenberg is not relevant as a challenger for Støre.
– Kantar and TV 2 go a long way by bringing in the name of a person they know with great certainty is not a current candidate for the leadership post in the Labor Party. This is counterfactual, it contradicts the facts on the question of leadership in the Labor Party, says Vibe, who is not polite in his criticism.
– It is simply an office on the part of Kantars and TV 2 to create news on the basis of conditions that do not exist, write in the post, and continue:
– I don’t want to speculate on the reasons why they make such news stories, but if we want to be able to see Kantar and TV 2 as serious players in market analysis and political journalism, they must go for themselves and choose completely different. methods and don’t do artificial problems like this.
Respond to Raja’s behavior
Reject criticism
TV 2 news editor Karianne Solbrække dismisses the criticism. She points out that the Labor Party has been the largest party in the country and therefore is in a special position historically.
– Now the game is going through a crisis, with low goals in the polls over time. Our poll is a mood gauge for what voters think about the Labor Party and its leadership. The same is also requested internally within the party. We think it is journalistically interesting to explore what concerns voters’ preferences, he says.
Therefore, Erna will not open more
The editor of TV 2 asks several questions of the critics of Vibe.
– Vibe problematizes that we and Kantar ask hypothetical questions. So one can wonder if you can ask people questions, he says, pointing out that they constantly have prime minister polls where people are asked who they think and who they want as prime minister, with open candidates.
– Shouldn’t it be possible to answer “Trygve Slagsvold Vedum” or “Siv Jensen”, because they have not formally stood as candidates for prime minister? she asks and continues:
– When we have chosen to ask about Jens Stoltenberg it is because TV 2 knows that there is talk of his return within the Labor Party. So it is journalistically interesting to see how voters will respond to you as a candidate.
Pointing at each other: – Very reprehensible
Programs to TV2
Kantar does not want to respond to criticism, but refers to the TV 2 client.
– The measurement was carried out at the request of TV 2. We experienced Kantar as a very serious and professional player, with whom we have collaborated for a long time. I’m also sure that our tv2.readers don’t know that the election is a long time away, that the poll is a mood gauge that says something about the situation in the Labor Party, and that Jens Stoltenberg conveys that he is the head of NATO. until 2022. Something also reported in the article, Solbrække writes to Dagbladet.
