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It is the big city that is the problem
The new strict crown measures have been introduced because there are up to 4,000 infectious people across the country. And we know less than half.
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Once again, the Swedes are hardening in Stockholm. Swedish experts thought that the capital should be liberated this fall due to immunity. But big cities remain the problem even in the second wave.
Especially in Belgian cities. But also in Oslo, Drammen and Bergen stricter measures are being introduced.
And since hundreds of tests come back positive every day, it is clear that we must take a step forward. And it should be stricter in cities. I think that even Greater Oslo could have had even stricter measures.
The government asked Oslo to introduce stricter measures at the end of September. Councilmember Raymond Johansen said no to some of the points to see if what he had was enough.
Was not. And on Monday, Johansen introduced more austerity measures, with bandages and social bubbles starting Thursday.
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Will the measures work? If people do what we are told, then yes. The most important thing is to associate with as few people as possible.
It is difficult in cities where people live together. And while most people support the measures, there has been a lack of compliance in some settings.
So there are too many rules. When not even Councilor Raymond Johansen or top health bureaucrat Bjørn Guldvog managed to reproduce the rules correctly, they both had to correct after their press conferences on Monday and Wednesday, he says a bit.
Wednesday’s press conference was even called to clear up the confusion surrounding the crown’s measures.
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Probably all parts could be limited. Why did they really have to introduce so many new tips at the same time?
Oslo not only has a court order about having a maximum of ten at home, they also have one advice about a maximum of ten per week in total. Also in Bergen there is a maximum of ten. And this happened at the same time that the government released its national advice that a maximum of five should meet privately per day, but not every day. And then I haven’t even mentioned what stationary chairs can do for a party.
It seems almost easier in Sweden. Anders Tegnell has said this week that people in the designated affected regions should simply not meet with anyone outside the family for the next three weeks. And not much more than that.
If we had done the same and been very strict in metropolitan areas, the Solberg government could have abandoned its national council in return. At least look at it a bit.
It is more confusing with various sets of rules. And it is in cities where it is most important that people can follow the advice.
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On the other hand, it is a bit sad to see that events are canceled in municipalities where there is no contagion of corona and that entire school stages are closed in a single case of corona.
In Oslo and other cities, there is a great danger of losing sight of infection tracking.
There is a good chance of contracting the virus where there was little infection before. In rural areas, people can often isolate themselves in the single family home, not in a vacuum.
Another problem is migrant workers. With the increase in infection in Eastern Europe, Norway is also notable. Especially where they live and work closely.
Here too it is possible to do more if the infection is not reduced. The quarantine that has been entered is effective if it is followed. But we have no control over whether it actually happens.
In Denmark, they now require a negative coronation test before allowing someone to enter. We can also consider this in Norway, possibly a test on arrival and a couple of days after.
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When FHI writes in its new weekly report that we have managed to clear the infection to 96 percent of all infected in Norway in the last two weeks, it sounds fantastic. But we really only have the infection trace below 50 percent. For example, some have been cleared with the place of infection as “unknown” and many have been infected abroad.
Fortunately, deaths have not yet started to increase significantly.
But we cannot wait for death until we introduce measures. Because then it is too late. When people begin to die, it reflects infection figures from several weeks ago.
The same is true for hospitalized patients. The 50 or so people who are in the hospital with COVID-19 now, were not infected yesterday, but probably a week or two ago.
When it takes time for the measures to work, it is because many are already infected when the measures are introduced.
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And it is not the case that the curfew countries have fared better. On the contrary.
In March, the Norwegians could get as far outside the walls of the house as we could, and yet we saw a big effect in the weeks after the measures were introduced.
Norway has done well during the pandemic, among the best in Europe. We live dispersed and we have a state of well-being that makes it possible to be on sick leave. Then it was also faster in March because people had already started to isolate themselves before the measures were introduced.
In its recent model, FHI estimates that around 4,000 are contagious in Norway now. It’s kind of sad to think back to a few months ago when they estimated that there were about 60 in total across the country.
NIPH also believes that they can now find 40 percent of those infected. Most of us don’t know.
Therefore, it takes time before this improves. Probably a factor as to why they are doing so badly.