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Since May, many stopped following quarantine orders, and those over 50 are the worst.
– We were quite surprised when we saw this. We think this is disturbing and helps us think about how we can get even better with the information, says subject director Frode Forland at FHI to VG.
The figures come from a panel with a representative sample of the Norwegian population of around 1,700 people, who are asked several different questions about the coronavirus. They have not yet been officially published, but the article has been accepted for publication in the renowned magazine Eurosurveillance, says Forland.
The surveys are conducted by the University of Bergen (UiB) and the National Institute of Public Health (NIPH).
– The reason we think this is so important data that we decided to release it before it is released is that it is disruptive and should be used for policy thinking and communication – How to get people to follow the rules, says Forland.
It was NRK who brought up the case for the first time.
Did you know – You can be punished with imprisonment for quarantine violations
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So far, measurements have been made in April, May, June and July.
– If you look at the numbers here, it wasn’t so bad in April. He then complied with 2/3 of imposed quarantine or isolation. Already in May it will be reduced by half. Then it has been stable at a low level ever since, says Bjarne Robberstad, professor of health economics at UiB.
Those who best comply with the rules are those in the 18-29 age group. About 70 percent follow the rules.
– Exactly that was a bit surprising, now it is the students who get to ride in the media. But in our data they are the best. While the generation that was most furious about the booth ban is the one that makes it worse, says Robberstad.
It refers to the 50 to 60 age group, where only one in four follows the rules. The age group above this is somewhat better, but not as good as the youngest.
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– Communication challenge
The study also shows that those with symptoms follow the rules better than those who do not. Of those with symptoms, 70 percent say they follow the rules, while only 30 percent of those with no symptoms do.
– The reason for this is also something that we will look at more closely. These preliminary figures are the big picture.
Quarantine and isolation are not the primary focus of the survey, but are among several things the panel was asked about.
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When asked what he thinks is necessary for people to better follow the rules, Forland at FHI responds that it may be a matter of communicating how important it is.
– It is similar to what we have seen in regards to compliance with the subway rule at parties, for example. Despite clear messages that it is important, many choose not to follow it. So we have a great communication challenge.
At the same time, he emphasizes that the figures should be treated with some caution, as the data has not yet been released. He also points out that you cannot be completely sure what people have understood as “quarantine / isolation”.
– It is required to be in quarantine if you come from a red country or have been in close contact with an infected person. But you are also encouraged to stay home and not go to work if you sniff; this may have been perceived as a whole in the survey, although the definition is specified in fine print.
The same survey conducted in Norway is also carried out in several other countries, including England, the Netherlands, and Belgium.