Presidential Election in the United States – Battle of the Midwest

Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota are four states in which Donald Trump won narrowly and surprisingly four years ago. In the polls, however, challenger Joe Biden now clearly leads in these states. In Pennsylvania, average survey numbers range from four to six percent. And in the three Midwest states, the advantage is six to eight percent. This is long-standing leadership, and while leadership has been marginally reduced in Pennsylvania, more than half of voters have already cast their votes.

So Trump can winning all the decisive states of Florida, Georgia, Arizona, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina and Texas, and according to opinion polls, it does not, without winning the election. If not, Pennsylvania and the three Midwest states also win. Thus, the Battle of the Midwest could be the most important battlefield of this election, it is also even in Ohio and Iowa, where Trump clearly won four years ago. That’s why Biden leads his team on Saturday, bringing former president and superstar Barack Obama to Michigan to cement leadership in the Midwest. This is the first time that the two act together in the electoral campaign.

Desperate triumph jakt

There are many reasons to the fact that Trump has lost support in Pennsylvania and these northern Midwestern states. The main reason is, as everywhere in the United States, the crown. There are currently around 80,000 new people infected each day and 1,000 deaths across the country. Wisconsin is one of the worst affected states. The pandemic now also affects small towns in the Midwest, which the virus did not reach this spring, and which four years ago was Trump’s country. Hospital capacity is skyrocketing and field hospitals are now being established in Wisconsin. Trump’s assurances that the pandemic is over soon are based on his own irrationality. People see it with the naked eye.

And then there is the police violence racism and riots. It’s the Midwest, and this week Pennsylvania, the hardest hit by police killing blacks. The murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis, Minnesota this summer gave a powerful vitamin injection to the “Black Lives Matter” movement. And two more police killings in the region reinforced that. Before the mentally ill Walter Wallace was shot 14 times in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, earlier this week, and riots broke out again in a big city. Trump has tried to use the racism card for what it might be worth. But there is a big question about whether it works for larger groups of voters. Instead, it may appear that it is voters of color and young people who are mobilized by police killings and riots, writes The Economist, among others. And young black voices for Biden.

Biden spoke to the nation

Joe Biden also has A great advantage in this referendum on Donald Trump, and it is that it is not, precisely, Donald Trump. Biden also has another advantage, and that is that she is not Hillary Clinton, who lost “safe” democracies like Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota to Donald Trump four years ago. Clinton was perceived as elitist and at times a bit condescending to the uneducated. This is not how Biden is gaily perceived and thus likely to win back the voters the Democrats lost to Trump in 2016. Trump’s lies and character are well documented and are a challenge to all but the President’s most loyal base. Especially for women from the suburbs of big cities, also from the Midwest.

Does Trump have a card? Who can save him in the Midwest so the heart of America can send him once again to the White House? Now it seems dark. The potential among uneducated angry white males is far from being eliminated in the Midwest, they are also relatively minor for each election that is. Mobilization among youth and people of color in big cities is not an advantage for Trump either. And if the Midwest falls in love with Trump, he falls in love too.