Opinion Poll, Oslo | Shocking New Poll: Jan Bøhler Steals Voters From Everyone Else



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– Sympathy has been aroused, says Jan Bøhler about the enormous progress in Oslo.

The Center Party is emerging in Oslo after Labor Party profile Jan Bøhler announced his transfer to the party, shows a recent Oslo poll Sentio has conducted for Nettavisen and Klassekampen.

The party advances up to 5.4 percentage points from the result of the 2017 parliamentary elections, to a result of 7.5 percent. If it had been the result of the elections, the Center Party would have had two representatives from Oslo in the Storting for the first time in history.

– I am very encouraged and it gives me a lot of motivation. Many people come to me on the street and send me supportive and very positive messages. “I have received a lot of sympathy, and many have said that they will now vote for the Center Party,” says Bøhler of the shocking numbers for Nettavisen.

The Center Party is also gaining a total of three percentage points from the Oslo poll by NRK and Aftenposten in October.

See the results for all parts below.

Also read: Jan Bøhler’s new life: – They wanted to hurt me and hit me

Activated when I joined

The Center Party makes it particularly strong in East Oslo, the place Bøhler has fought for all these years. The recent Center Party politician says he has felt “something is happening.”

– I think many in Oslo have liked the Downtown Party. It seems to be a like-minded party, close to the people, and in a good mood. It is perhaps the sympathy that is most aroused when I, who is known as a politician from Oslo, join the Center Party, says Bøhler.

The voter boom comes 27 years after the Center Party was last elected as Oslo’s parliamentary representative in 1993. And with the election result, Bøhler, who was recently elected the party’s first candidate in Oslo, it would sail straight to the Storting.

– I am very happy for the support I have received. It is increasingly relevant that the people of Oslo also vote for the Center Party, and I realize that we have great potential, he says.

Bøhler is referring to the cases that he believes are the reason more people are looking at the Center Party.

– Some of the issues I have focused on, such as the fight for the Ullevål hospital and the Oslo hospitals, concern many in Oslo. I also think that the Center Party has wanted to spend much less money in the government district, it is something that many support. We are also beginning to make our mark on criminal gangs in Oslo, and we are becoming more relevant there, says Bøhler.

In the poll, 800 people in Oslo were asked why they would vote if there were parliamentary elections tomorrow. Measurement is taken 2-14. November, and has a margin of error of 0.8 and 3.6 percent.

Gunnar Stavrum: First they reject Jan Bøhler, then they get furious and call him a fucking traitor

– It is fun

Had the poll been the result of the elections, the county leader of the Center Party in Oslo, Bjørg Sandskjær, would also have had a seat in the Storting.

– It is fun! I think it shows that more people in Oslo see the Center Party as a party that talks about the challenges they see in their daily life, Sandskjær tells Nettavisen.



The previous parliamentary representative for the Center Party in Oslo was Arne Haukvik, who sat in the Storting from 1993 to 1997.

– We have never come close to an electoral result like the one shown in this poll. It will be historic if we get more than one mandate from Oslo, he says.

– An effect of Jan Bøhler

Sandskjær has no doubt why they are now making great progress in Oslo.

– We will not underestimate that Jan Bøhler came and may pose even more problems and reach more people. I think it is correct to speak of an effect Jan Bøhler says.

– Why do you think you get such a great effect from Jan Bøhler?

– People know who he is. He is an elected representative who is known as someone who talks to people a lot, takes people’s concerns seriously, and has long worked to promote both issues in Groruddalen, but also issues across the city, says Sandskjær.

– Are you surprised by the great Bøhler effect?

– What I have thought is that we have a potential in Oslo that has been greater than what we have had so far. When Jan Bøhler came to the Downtown Party, we saw that together we can go a long way. I am very happy, I would rather say so, he says.



Sandskjær is particularly pleased that they are collecting voters from the “don’t know” group from the previous parliamentary elections. 17 percent of his voters now come from that group.

– Turnout, especially in East Oslo, is low, so if we can inspire many to get off the couch, think politics and go to the polls, then that is additional inspiration, he says.

Also read: Jan Bøhler is running for the Center Party elections; he is called a traitor

FRP: – Not particularly good

The Progress Party and the Liberal Party fall the most in the Oslo poll compared to the 2017 parliamentary elections, with both parties losing one parliamentary representative each.

– Obviously, someone has gone over to the Center Party, says the FRP county leader in Oslo, Geir Ugland Jacobsen, to Nettavisen.

Jacobsen is not satisfied with a 6.1 percent result in the survey.

– I do not want to say that it is particularly good, and we have ambitions of more. Oslo has held up quite well compared to the rest of the country, but of course we have declined since the 2017 elections. This may be due to attrition of the government and other things, he says, while at the same time noting:

– There is a survey and it fluctuates quite a bit both at the Oslo level and at the national level. I hope we come back strong next year.



He also has no doubt why the Center Party is doing so well:

– It probably has a lot to do with Jan Bøhler and all the publicity they have received, he says.

Also read: FRP attacks Oslo City Council for controversial road plan: – We must exceed the MDGs

The left and KrF are halved

In the poll, at the same time, the Liberal Party cut its support in Oslo in half since the previous parliamentary elections, from 8.4 to 4.4 percent. KrF does the same, going from 2.1 to a record low of 0.8 percent in the capital.

– It’s always a bit bearish to get measurements where we are low, and it shows that we have a lot of work ahead of us. I have great faith that the Oslo Liberal Party will be able to rise again, says the county leader of the Liberal Party in Oslo, Grunde Almeland, to Nettavisen.

He says they must improve in making the Liberal Party’s policy visible.

– I experience great optimism and willingness to work in matches, and we will use it in the future to ensure a much better result than this in 2021, says Almeland.

Here are the results for all parts:

Make the most of Ap

But the Arbeiderpartiet city council party is also declining, with 2.5 percentage points from the result of the Storting elections in 2017. The party gets 25.9 percent support, and it is also the party for which the Center Party it has more voters, a total of 5,621 voters.

– This poll inspires us to stand our ground and make sure that the Labor Party will go further and that there will be a majority for a new government in next year’s elections, Oslo Aps County Leader Frode Jacobsen tells Nettavisen.

Despite the decline, he is pleased that they are well above the result of last year’s local elections, when the Labor Party won 20 percent of the vote.

– Norway and Oslo need a new government that works for safe communities, greater well-being, safety at and for work and cuts in greenhouse gas emissions. We are now six percent above last year’s election result, but our ambition is, of course, that we will raise the 2017 election result and preferably above that, says Jacobsen.



Jacobsen believes that they are progressing compared to the municipal elections for several reasons:

– The confidence of the people of Oslo in the management of corona is greater than in the rest of the country. 8 out of 10 support Raymond Johansen and the city council in running the crown. It is not so strange if this also translates into greater support for the Labor Party, he says.

Also read: Oslo residents have great confidence in information from the municipality’s crown

Steal voters from everyone

The Conservatives and the Progress Party also have a net loss of around 2,500 voters each for the Center Party compared to the 2017 election. The party also steals voters from all other parties: Venstre (1268), Andre ( 1460), Rødt (1084), MDG (983), SV (613) and KrF (604).

However, the biggest in the poll are the Conservatives, who have advanced 1.3 percentage points since the parliamentary elections, to 27.7 percent. This would have given the party seven parliamentary representatives from Oslo, which is one more than they have today. SV also advanced three percentage points, to 12.3 percent. While the Green Party (ODM) finishes just behind the Center Party in support, with a result of 7.3 percent (up 1.3 percent). Red gets 6.3 percent in the poll, which is 0.2 percent from previous parliamentary elections.



Check out the latest parliamentary polls from Nettavisene:

November: The Center Party is declining sharply in a new poll: Ignite hope for the bourgeoisie
October: New Impact Measurement: Thriller About the Prime Minister’s Job
September: Measurement: worst job outcome in 17 years
August: ODM below threshold: Erna increases gap with Jonas
June: Erna Solberg has rushed forward: measurement shows that she is now changing

Most of the men to Sp

If you look at the background figures from the poll, most men say they want to vote for the Center Party in Oslo, a total of eight percent. And five percent of women say they want to do the same. The party also has a higher proportion of voters among older voters.

Among people between the ages of 60 and 69, 12 percent say they will vote for Bøhler’s new party. The party has the lowest number of voters in the 30-39 age group, where only one percent respond that they will vote for the Center Party.

Nine percent of voters in eastern Oslo say they will vote for the Center Party, while four percent in the west and five percent in central Oslo say the same.

The background figures also show that the Liberal Party in Oslo has the most insecure voters. 38 percent of those who voted for the party in the last parliamentary elections are now unsure whether they will do the same again. KrF also has a high proportion of insecure voters, 30 percent.

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