NIPH: Probably much more infected in Norway than previously thought



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Between 54,800 and 73,000 people have been infected with the coronavirus in Norway, FHI estimates according to Aftenposten.

Until last week, FHI estimated that between 34,600 and 43,000 people had been infected with the coronavirus in Norway. The new estimate indicates a 60 percent increase, which could have significant consequences for fighting the virus, according to Aftenposten.

There are still around 11,000 confirmed infected with the virus in the country.

Some severely underrepresented groups

– So far we have assumed that the virus spread fairly evenly between the different age groups. When we look at the test data so far, we now see that some age groups are overrepresented, while others are underrepresented, says University of Oslo professor of biostatistics and director of the Big Insight Center Arnoldo Frigessi to Aftenposten.

Especially children under 10 years old and age groups over 60 who are severely underrepresented, while people belonging to the age group 20-29 years have accounted for 30% of all new cases of infection, despite They represent only 13% of the population.

Lower hospital risk

As a result, FHI analysts have lowered the overall risk of an infected person entering the hospital from 3.9% to 2.26%. This is because a much higher proportion of younger people are infected than previously thought and need hospital treatment less often.

Also read: NIPH figures: More infection in private than in nightclubs

– If you get sick first, the probability of ending up in the hospital is the same. But when we look at the big differences in which age groups are most infected, it now means that 2.26 percent of those infected actually end up in hospital, Frigessi told the newspaper.

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