NHO Director Ole Erik Almlid sounds the alarm:



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– This is very bad. Wherever we look, this is bad news. And that is very bad for Oslo.

Almlid just reviewed this year’s latest survey of NHO member companies. 3000 companies have responded. Very few have bright spots to report.

– They are depressing figures, sums up the top executive of NHO.

It must be extended

Almlid urges the government to speed up the processing of new crown measures.

– I want to be very clear about this: we must recognize that crisis packages and compensation plans cannot be stopped before March 1. Therefore, there is no reason to wait until after the New Year to process this. The same applies to the layoff plan, which must extend beyond 52 weeks, Almlid tells Børsen.

Alarm: - Bankruptcies are ahead of us

Alarm: – Bankruptcies are ahead of us

In fact, the powerful NHO chief executive had intended to wait until January to sum up the need for new and extended crisis measures. The recent membership survey flips those plans upside down.

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– This is a completely extraordinary situation. We know that it will improve in 2021, but it will not improve from March. They are new and very clear signals on our part, he emphasizes.

Oslo is fighting hard

In particular, it is the feedback from the business community in Oslo that scares Almlid into already calling for extended crisis packages and further extension of layoff schemes.

The capital is pointing in a negative direction at all points in the NHO survey:

  • Nationwide, 17 percent of companies say they are planning layoffs as a result of the crown. In Oslo, three out of ten say the same.
  • One in six companies (16 percent) has difficulty paying bills close to maturity nationwide. In Oslo, the turnout rises to 22 percent.
  • 14 per cent of all companies consider that there is a real danger of bankruptcy as a result of the corona measures. For Oslo, 21 percent say the same.
Emergency call from Oslo city center: - Gone to hell

Emergency call from Oslo city center: – Gone to hell

– We are waiting for the vaccine, and there has been good news that the launch may take place faster than previously thought. But we are by no means starting from scratch when we write on January 1. On the contrary, we must strive to make 2021 much worse than many think. This is not resolved overnight, and many will fight hard for a long time, Almlid tells Børsen.

Closer to the cliff

In the big picture, there is little change in the feedback from NHO companies. About as many as last month reported liquidity problems, reduced turnover, lower demand, planned layoffs and risk of bankruptcy.

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This is very bad news, emphasizes the NHO director:

– Many companies are one step closer to the decline each month, showing figures unchanged from the previous month. Capital runs out and people disappear. Then we look intensely for bright spots, and they can be found when we look closely. But this is really bad news for many, Almlid emphasizes.

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Must be in place quickly

One argument against extending the layoff schedule beyond the 52-week crown-adjusted extension is the danger of lockdown. In other words, the workforce is withheld from the labor market because they are laid off.

– The extended redundancy scheme must be implemented quickly. There is no need to wait. The point is that we should not lose these people on the previous side while we wait for the full effect of the vaccine, emphasizes Almlid.

NHO: - It's wrong now

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– Is the counterargument that you can avoid natural transitions in the labor market, the so-called lockdown?

– It is rational to be afraid to block. But along with crisis packages and extended layoff schemes, we must have activity measures and wage subsidy schemes that help people get back to work, Almlid says.

Comprehensive packages

On Wednesday, news came that the government parties and the FRP agreed to an additional grant of NOK 250 million to municipalities with high unemployment. Oslo receives NOK 78.5 million of the funds.

Reject the emergency call: - Slap in the face

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– This is positive news, says Almlid.

– The leader of the city council has called for a separate crisis package for Oslo. What does NHO think about that?

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– Raymond Johansen has introduced the strictest infection control measures in the country. He had good reason to do so. In this way, Raymond takes responsibility for the entire country. So the business community in Oslo cannot be punished more severely, something that our membership survey figures are an indication is happening. But the answer is not a separate Oslo package. We must have comprehensive schemes that are so good that even those who are now fighting the hardest in Oslo are caught, says Almlid.

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