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There is a continuing danger that the pandemic will spiral out of control whether at the local, regional or national level in the next six months, writes the National Institute of Public Health (NIPH) in its risk assessment for the first half of 2021.
“We estimate that there is a high probability of many local outbreaks with 5 to 50 cases, but we estimate that the municipalities involved will still be able to regain control, in most cases within three to four weeks. The burden of disease from these outbreaks probably it will be small and the outbreaks will not threaten the capacity of the hospitals, ”the risk assessment states.
The risk assessment comes on the same day that the EU Commission approved the use of Pfizer’s vaccine in the EU and Norway.
The Oslo area is the most vulnerable
In the Oslo area, there is the highest probability of losing control, writes FHI.
– But we hope that municipalities, with the appropriate use of additional measures, can avoid situations of accelerated proliferation that threaten the capacity of the health service, writes FHI.
However, there is a low risk of a new national wave with an accelerated spread.
Warns
They also have a warning for young people.
– We have noticed that part of the population believes that only the elderly can get serious diseases. In the risk assessment, therefore, we noted that 70 percent of those admitted to the hospital and 66 percent of those in need of intensive care are under the age of 70, writes department director Line Vold, in a press release Monday afternoon.
