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The so-called R number nationwide dropped to 1.0 in week 12, FHI reports in its weekly report. In the weekly report for week 11, the R number was estimated at 1.3.
– This are good news. The R number has dropped, and it is also good news that the number of reported cases appears to have decreased somewhat, department head Line Vold at FHI tells Dagbladet.
– I hope this development continues and that everyone follows the rules this Easter. There is a flattening and also a decline in several places, and it looks positive. It is rewarding.
Positive development in Oslo
However, there are large geographic variations in terms of the R number. In Møre og Romsdal, the R number in week 12 is estimated at 1.6, in Rogaland 1.4 and in Vestland 1.9. In Oslo, the R number has now dropped to 0.7, according to FHI calculations. In week 11, the R number in Oslo was estimated at 1.3.
Nine children received intensive care
Therefore, the infection trend in Oslo is declining again, writes FHI.
– It is very positive, because Oslo has had a growth in numbers and it has been high for a long time. It is important to reduce the number of new infections in Oslo and Viken, because this is where most of the infected people in the country live. The pressure of infection in Oslo and Viken thus characterizes the national figures. Now a great job is being done in municipalities with high infection pressure to reverse development, says Vold.
According to FHI, the infection trend continues to increase in both Viken and Vestfold, and probably Rogaland as well.
Therefore, the violence is evident that it is not possible to put aside the jubilation completely yet.
– The fact that the R number is 1 at the national level means that the number of infected is stable. The incidence, that is, the number of infected, remains high, so we want a lower number of infected, and also a decrease in hospital admissions. We want this development to be reversed, and that’s a sign that it is. But it is important to note that this can vary from week to week, so we want this trend to continue.
I hope the Kneika has passed
In the weekly report, FHI writes that after five weeks with an increase in the number of reported cases, there was a decrease in week 12. So far, there has been an 11 percent decrease in reported cases from week 11 to week 12.
– Are we over the hump?
– We hope so, but it is too early to conclude. The sharp rise has at least slowed down and it looks like it’s about to take a turn, Vold responds.
During Easter, with many red days, it can be difficult to interpret the numbers, says Vold. This is because both testing and registration can take longer on those days, as has also been seen on weekends.
– And some may want to move and postpone the test in relation to Easter. It can affect the numbers. So we’ll probably see how Easter has gone in terms of infection development next week, he says.
Stable hospital numbers
After several weeks of an increase in the number of new hospital admissions, with covid-19 as the main reason for hospitalization, the number of new admissions has remained relatively stable over the last two weeks.
So far, 194 new admissions have been reported in week 12. In week 11, the number was 224. In the age group 30-49, admissions continue to rise, with 81 new admissions last week, compared to 64 of the previous week. This is the highest number of reported admissions in this age group during a week since the pandemic broke out.
Predict chain May 17
About half with risk factor
Of the 81 new admissions in this group, 27 were between the ages of 30 and 39 and 54 were between the ages of 40 and 49. 39 of them had a known risk factor prior to admission.
At week 12, there were 5 new admissions in the age group 20-29 years after 18 at week 11.
The week before Easter, a test record was also set in Norway.
