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JOHNSTOWN / OSLO (Dagbladet): Opinium Research’s recent poll for the US branch of The Guardians shows that the distance between the two candidates is up to 17 percentage points.
According to the poll, Biden has 57 percent support, while Trump has 40 percent support.
This increases Biden’s advantage and is probably the greatest he has had against his opponent during the election campaign. Last Tuesday, CNN released a poll showing the Democrat leading by 16 percentage points, one point less than the current figure.
A messiah is on the loose
Demanding weeks
The new poll comes after a demanding few weeks for the president:
First, the New York Times published his revelation that he only paid $ 750, equivalent to about $ 7,000, in federal income tax in 2016, the year he was elected president, before he made a highly criticized appearance in the first debate. presidential.
Later, he himself confirmed the news that he had been infected with Covid-19.
Here’s Trump’s full hope
– How the hell
– How the hell do you lose to a guy like this? Trump asked the thousands who had turned up to hear him speak Tuesday night local time in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, despite negative polls showing he is speeding toward defeat if events don’t change.
While the audience was shaking on an airstrip on a cold and sour October night, Trump continued to attack Biden. Both are desperately fighting to win the important seesaw state.
– Biden is not a good guy. If he was a nice guy, I wouldn’t attack him like that. Biden has always been a fool. Even in his best years, he was seen as a stupid guy, Trump said to cheers from onlookers.
Bad news
If the figures from The Guardian’s recent poll are correct, they paint a picture of Trump’s challenger steadily drifting away in the race, until Election Day on November 3.
However, there is some dispersion in the measurements that are currently being published. Earlier Tuesday, RealClearPolitics released an average poll that showed the distance between Trump and Biden to be 10.2 percentage points, which is less than the figures mentioned.
The lead ranged from 5 to 13 percentage points as of Tuesday and was greater than the margin of error on the ten measurements that formed the basis for the RealClearPolitics average calculation, according to NTB.
A probability model from the FiveThirtyEight website gives Biden an 87 percent chance of winning the election in three weeks. The probability of a Trump victory is 13 percent, or one-eighth, the probability model shows.
Triumphs «klinefest»: – In tapersak
Run election campaigns in states with a tip
The changing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona are likely to be decisive for the results of this year’s election.
The latest polls give Biden an advantage in these six states.
Overnight to Tuesday Norwegian time, Trump has returned from testing positive for Covid-19 and holding his first voter meeting in Sanford, Florida. The night before Norwegian time on Wednesday, he had moved to Johnstown in Pennsylvania to continue the election campaign.
– Please
During an election rally in Johnstown on Wednesday night, Trump tried to appeal to various minority groups and made a new attempt to charm women in the suburbs, a demographic of the population that appears to have abandoned Trump. As before, Trump highlighted his earlier description of women in the old-fashioned way as “suburban housewives.”
“I don’t want to build low-income housing next to their house,” Trump said, adding:
– Women from the suburbs, can I like you?
In other words, the sprint is in full swing.
