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COMMENTS
FRP reduces the value of their advances in the budget agreement, by emphasizing that they really wanted to say no. It tells everything about a party in deep crisis.
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For those who You have followed Norwegian politics for a long time, budget negotiations always have a theatrical element. Signs at the entry of negotiations and follow-up messages along the way always give a good indication of how great the chances of a default or deal are.
This time it was pretty obvious: the FRP would eventually reach an agreement. Although they would have liked to make it even more difficult. To explain the reason for this, we can give the floor to FRP leader Carl I. Hagen.
Has more time experience than most with precisely negotiation situations like this one. On the same day that the government’s budget proposal was presented to the Storting just over a month ago, he presented the model of how these negotiations would unfold. It happened from the stage of the University auditorium in Oslo, where he, along with several other political veterans, gathered to shed light on the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the electoral research program.
There was a real danger that there could be a rupture, Hagen said. And it would be especially the number of quota refugees that would be difficult to agree on. But in the end, it would be “the political situation there and then” that would determine whether the FRP said yes or no to an agreement.
So became him. Refugee quotas have been the most difficult, and there the FRP has had to surrender. In return, Siv Jensen & co. had an impact on another tightening of immigration policy. And not least: 18 billion in budget changes. The price for KrF to have an impact on the number of refugees from the quota was cheaper beer, wine and tobacco. This is Norwegian policy with the unequal four-leaf clover conservatives KrF, Venstre and Frp in the majority position.
The political situation noted by Carl I. Hagen laid the foundations for this fun barter. But equally important: the political situation laid the groundwork for a breach not really a relevant alternative.
The country is in the middle in a pandemic, and only in the time that has passed since Hagen presented his prophecy from the University auditorium has it become more serious. Rising infection rates have once again raised the crown to the top of the political agenda. Overthrowing the government because of the prices of sweets and tobacco, or the quota of refugees who in any case are not affected by a pandemic, would be impossible for Frp. They would seem irresponsible or ridiculous, or both.
Siv Jensen tried He did his best to emphasize the state of emergency when the deal was presented tonight. Under normal circumstances, it is not certain that we would have accepted it, he said. At the same time, he tried to present the tax cuts and the other additions as a great victory.
But when you don’t accept the deal under normal circumstances, you also reduce the value of the advances you have received. Large tax breaks on beer, wine and tobacco, when KrF is on the other side of the bargaining table, would be considered a triumph under “normal circumstances.” Now it’s good enough.
He says Much about the crisis the FRP is in. The party left government in January to polish its profile before the next parliamentary elections. They had to score at the Storting, get tough and raise their own heart problems. This fall’s budget should be the crown of the job. That did not happen.
The crown has hit the FRP with full force. The party has had to curb self-brands, and there has also been limited interest in them. At the same time, the Center Party continues to eat from the voter base. The FRP now has the same support in average opinion polls as it did in the months before leaving government: 10 percent.
Government power is lost and nothing is gained. The party is on hold and does not have a clear path to greater support until next fall’s elections. The party has not only come down with crown disease, it is also struggling with severe tendon injuries.
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