Elections in the United States: the desperate search for Trump

It’s soon alone There are two weeks left until the elections on November 3. And for Donald Trump, good advice is expensive. Because the writing is on the wall for all who see it. Opinion polls say you will lose, most say you will lose a lot. In the days that remain, he must transfer the voters who are mostly locked inside their respective booths; for or against Donald Trump.

That’s why Trump is this weekend in a scandalous search for voters in the states that must win. On Saturday he was in Michigan (16 voters) and Wisconsin (10 voters) in the Midwest, on Sunday he is in Nevada (6 voters), and on Monday he is in Arizona (11 voters) in the west of the country. And for the past week, he traveled between Florida (29 voters) and Pennsylvania (20 voters), with a detour to Georgia (16 voters) in the south on Friday. These are all states that Trump must win in order to continue to have an address in the White House. And there are states where in some places he is clearly behind Democratic challenger Joe Biden in the polls.

Impact measure for Trump: Biden walks away

Let us begin with Florida. It is a state that Trump must win and one that both the president and the challenger have diligently visited over the past week. There, Biden leads by 3.6 percent, according to the composition of The Economist opinion polls over the past two weeks, among voters who say they are likely to vote. The lead has increased since Trump was released from the hospital and, among other things, said his corona infection was a blessing from God. But according to forecasts, Biden will win the election, even if he loses in Florida.

And even if Trump If Florida wins, it must also win Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Michigan, which it won four years ago, if it wants to win the presidential election. But in Pennsylvania, Biden leads by six percent, and the lead has been clear and fairly stable since late April. In Wisconsin, Biden leads by more than seven percent, and the big lead there has also held steady since May. Michigan looks just as promising for Biden, because it also leads the Democratic challenger by more than seven percent, and nothing has been able to achieve solid leadership since mid-April. In Michigan, Trump won by a few thousand votes four years ago.

In the national Biden leads the polls with an average of about 10 percent over Trump, but in individual polls he has a 16 and 14 percent advantage. But while it is almost obvious that Biden will get more votes than Trump in the election itself, it is the voters that the states send to the Electoral College that will decide the election. The winner needs 270 voters to win. And according to The Economist’s summary, Biden is more likely to win Texas than Trump is to win Florida.

Triumphs «klinefest»: – In tapersak

So Trump must win all the decisive states of Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, Texas, Florida, Georgia and North Carolina, plus one of the states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Michigan must win, where Biden has a solid and lasting advantage. It looks undeniably brilliant for Joe Biden.

And dark for Donald Trump. Because things haven’t been any better for Trump since he was released from the hospital. Voters so far have not been moved to any appreciable degree by the president’s frantic pace and outbursts of confrontation. At the two televised election rallies on Thursday this week, Biden had more viewers of his interrogation than Trump, even though Biden’s meeting was broadcast on one national television channel, while Trump was broadcast on three. And even though Trump was able to deliver new provocations and confrontations, and undoubtedly provided better entertainment than a quiet Biden, he had national reconciliation as his message, and carried out reasoning in a calm and controlled manner.

Spread Obama’s “sick” theory

Trump’s problem is that it does not seem to be able to win new voters in the elections that, in any case, will be a referendum on Donald Trump. America has had enough, it may seem. At least it seems Trump was not helped by God blessing him with a crown infection. After all, God’s ways are not so unfathomable.