Corona Vaccine: Break Erna’s Vaccine Dream

On Friday, January 29, Prime Minister Erna Solberg presented three scenarios on how long we will have to live with the crown’s measures.

Now it can be said that the most optimistic scenario is failing.

“In the most optimistic scenario, more vaccines will be approved and the supply of manufacturers will increase. Then, all risk groups can be offered a vaccine for Easter, and the rest of the adult population will be offered a vaccine before summer. Mutated variants of the virus are kept under control and vaccines have a positive effect on infection and infectivity. The development is promising across Europe and, at best, most infection control measures can be phased out before the summer. “In Solberg.

These are the mutations we fear

Unlikely

– No, we consider this unlikely, the chief physician Are S. Berg of the National Institute of Public Health (NIPH) now responds to Dagbladet, when asked if there is any real possibility of being able to vaccinate everyone in the risk groups before Easter.

On Thursday, FHI presented his optimistic scenario. It can work if everything goes well, if several new vaccines are approved and we receive all the vaccine deliveries that we were promised.

In this scenario, all people in the risk groups have been offered the first dose of vaccine towards the end of May, and their vaccination will continue for some time until July.

– In the best case scenario, everyone over 18 can be vaccinated by mid-September, FHI Director Camilla Stoltenberg said Thursday.

Only 30,000 fully vaccinated

According to FHI calculations, around 1.4 million Norwegians belong to the various risk groups.

The government has previously operated with an estimate of 1.3 million.

So far only 30,000 Norwegians have been fully vaccinated. 135,000 have received the first dose.

The question is whether there was any chance of reaching the optimistic scenarios when the Prime Minister presented them on January 29.

Dagbladet has asked the Prime Minister’s Office (SMK) on what Erna Solberg based her optimistic scenario and if it has any consequences that this is now smoking.

SMK has referred to the Ministry of Health, which has yet to respond.

A year at the rate of today

If the current vaccination rate continues, vaccination of risk groups will not be completed within a year, but health authorities say it will increase considerably.

– The most important limitations to the vaccination rate in Norway in the future are the number of vaccines available and the doses of vaccine, says NIPH Director Camilla Stoltenberg.

If we had fully vaccinated everyone in the risk groups before Easter, we would have had to receive a total of at least 2.8 million doses of vaccine, while we have received approximately 250,000 doses so far. (figures from January 29). If we get all the vaccines that we were promised in the coming months, we will get 1.4 million doses by Easter.

Warn Erna Solberg

SV Deputy Leader Torgeir Knag Fylkesnes believes the government has presented many unrealistic scenarios.

– I want to warn Erna Solberg not to give people false hope. The fact that one has been around for a while and thinks that until the summer the entire Norwegian population can be vaccinated, then you get the opposite that it will be in the autumn at best. Things can happen, mutants can be resistant to vaccination. I think it is very important that the government does not spread illusions, but rather has a sober hope for the people. If not, people can lose faith, says Fylkesnes.

Fylkesnes believes this has been a problem with the government.

– They plan all the time for the best of times. When the infection returned this fall, they were put to bed. The measures for industries were not applied until the new year. Now when a mutant arrived, which wasn’t that surprising, they seem shocked and unprepared, he says.

In presenting the different scenarios, Erna Solberg said that the government intends to adjust economic measures in line with the development of the pandemic. This will now be negotiated at the Storting.

– They were very critical when we spoke in favor of extending the measures for workers throughout the summer. They thought it was too long, but now it may turn out to be too short, says SV politician.