Labor Party Slumps to New Low in Latest Polls

Labor garnered only 21 percent support in the October poll in Klassekampen and Nationen. This is 3.7 percentage points less than the previous month.

The result is the weakest for the Labor Party since Norfakta began conducting monthly parliamentary polls for Klassekampen and Nationen in December 2008. If this were the result of the elections, the Labor Party would have held its worst parliamentary elections since 1924.

Bad polls for the Labor Party have been online for the past week. In Kantar’s poll for TV 2 on Monday, the Labor Party received just 18.4 percent. On Tuesday, the party received 22 percent in the Opinion poll for ANB, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse. In the 2017 parliamentary elections, the Labor Party received 27.4 percent.

The class struggle has spoken to 7 of the Aps 13 county leaders about what the explanation for historically low support is. All point out that internal disturbances and personal conflicts overshadow politics.

– Politics has drowned in conflict and personal affairs, says Mona Nilsen, head of Nordland Ap.

But Nils-Ole Foshaug, leader of Troms Ap, believes the wind will change soon.

– I am convinced that when the Labor Party gets a definitive party program and when we get the message across to our project to develop Norway, I think it will change, Foshaug tells Klassekampen.

The Conservatives are the largest party in the Norfakta poll at 22.9 percent.

Relevant policy

At the same time, Sp is measured at 17%, which represents an increase of 3.6 percentage points from September.

– People see that we are becoming a larger and larger team, says party leader Trygve Slagsvold Vedum when asked if the poll can be seen in light of the party switch to Labor profile Jan Bøhler.

– More and more people see us as a tool for their daily life. People see that our policy is as relevant to Groruddalen as Gudbrandsdalen, says the SP leader to Nationen.

The Labor Party, the Socialist People’s Party and the Socialist People’s Party will have 83 seats, two seats less than the 85 needed for a parliamentary majority. With Red and MDG, they get a total of 101 seats.

Less than half of APS voters left

Only 47 percent of those who voted for Labor in the 2017 parliamentary elections say they would do so again. 20 percent of Labor voters are insecure and have sat on the fence. Up to 13 percent of APS 2017 voters go to the Center Party.

Support to the parties is distributed as follows: SV 6.6 (-1.5), Ap 21 (-3.7), Sp 17 (+3.6), KrF 3.4 (-0.7), Venstre 3, 9 (+1), Right 22.9 (-2.7), Frp 13.1 (+0.3), Red 4.4 (+1.1) and MDG 5.6 (+2.1).

The survey was conducted on October 6 and 7. 1,001 people were interviewed. The margin of error varies between 1.1 and 2.7 percentage points and is higher for larger parties.