NJ reports that there are 4,613 more confirmed COVID cases and the model has made the state its second wave peak as 17 people are predicted to die.



Health officials in New Jersey reported another 4,613 confirmed cases of the coronavirus on Sunday, and the state’s forecasted models dello indicate that we have reached the peak of the second wave of the epidemic.

Government Phil Murphy released the latest figures on social media.

The state health department’s new forecast M models Dello came the same day, showing on Sunday that the state’s disease outbreak could be peak.

Scenarios show that, there may be 4 new cases and 79.66 people were hospitalized under moderate forecast till Sunday (3, 166 people were hospitalized till Saturday). But worst, scenario33. As many as new positive tests and, 745iz hospitalized can be played on the same day even in bad conditions.

The medium-term model represents a sharp decline in cases and hospital admissions in the coming months, with about 900 new cases expected in a month and 375 people expected to be treated in hospitals by the end of June.

Under the worst-case modeling scenario, however, the decline in cases and hospital admissions will be much slower. The model predicts there could still be 4,706 daily cases in the state and 3,268 patients could be hospitalized by the end of June. Both predictions are expected in cases and hospital admissions in the coming days.

Much can depend on how quickly the New Jersey vaccine receives and distributes doses.

Murphy said he wanted to vaccinate the state’s eligible 0% eligible population – about one million people – by May.

Health officials, meanwhile, revealed on Friday that the first two cases of the most contagious COVID-19 variant in the UK have been found in Garden State.

Scientists say the mutation is 70% more contagious. But there is no evidence yet that it is more lethal or more resistant to the vaccine. New Jersey joins at least 20 states where tensions have been confirmed. The first case has been identified as that of an Ocean County man in the 60s and the second is a child who was traveling to North New Jersey.

NJ resident deaths by month and year 2015-2020

NJ resident deaths by month and year 2015-2020

The epidemic has killed at least 20,951 people in the state since the first Seaweed-19 deaths in March.

Deaths from coronavirus in New Jersey exceed the commonly reported number for heart disease and cancer, the two leading killers years later. On December 31, the state’s official coronavirus toll was confirmed to be 19,042 and potentially fatal deaths in a catastrophic epidemic during the spring, then erupted again in the fall and winter, which is still holding off in another wave.

Surpassed the normal annual deaths produced by cancer, which killed about 16,200 people a year between 2014 and 2019, according to health department data. It has also surpassed heart disease, which has killed an average of more than 18,650 people in these six years.

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Vaccination

According to the state’s Dashboard Tracking Vaccination, the number of vaccinated doses reached around 500,000, showing 524,865 as of Sunday afternoon. Of these, 459,635 will receive the first of the two doses.

New Jersey has received 989,900 doses from the federal government, according to a telly run by the CDC.

Based on current data in the state, the hit reached a high of 31,859 doses given in a single day on January 20.

All six coronavirus vaccine mega-sites have opened in New Jersey to serve as a vaccination center.

New Jersey has faced criticism for having slower rollouts than dozens of other states, according to data from the Federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The state continues to give doses in phases. And despite a massive expansion in vaccine eligibility by officials last week, demand remains higher than supply, and residents are fed up with rare appointments. More than 4 million New Jersey residents are now eligible.

Officials insist the state is dependent on the federal government for its supplies and receive only 100,000 doses a week, although New Jersey has a capacity of 470,000 a day.

Murphy on Saturday The federal government said. Not giving the promised extra dose.

Hospitals

As of Saturday night, 3,356 patients admitted to hospitals in New Jersey with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 cases included 6,376 on ventilators (37 53 min), 90.90 in severe or intensive care.

74 fewer people were hospitalized on Saturday than last night.

There were also 397 COVID-19 patients discharged on Saturday, according to the state’s COVID-19 dashboard.

The governor has said that new restrictions are likely to be imposed on any hospital with more than 1,000 patients admitted. 22. The number of people admitted to the hospital has been steadily declining in recent days after 8 people were killed on December 22 at a seven-month high.

School case

According to a recent update by state health officials, at least 597 students and staff in 121 school districts in New Jersey have caught COVID-19 through school fury.

That’s an increase of 10 districts and 40 cases in the previous weekly report. School outbreaks have now been confirmed in all 21 counties, though the state does not identify individual school districts.

The most outbreaks occurred in Bergen County (26) and cases (115). As of Wednesday, the county also had the most confirmed cases at 55,349.

That number does not include students or staff believed to be infected outside the school or cases that cannot be confirmed as an outbreak at the school. Although the number continues to rise every week, Murphy said school outbreak figures fall below the expectations of state officials when schools are opened for the individual class.

New Jersey has defined school outbreak cases where contact tracers determine if two or more students or school staff are caught or transmitted COVID-19 during classroom or school educational activities.

Aged down

Broken due to age, they make up the highest percentage of New Jersey residents between the ages of 30 and 49 who have contracted the virus (31.2%), followed by 50-64 (23.7%), 18-29 (19.3%), 65-79. (11.1%), 5-17 (7.5%), 80 and above (5.4%), and 0-4 (1.6%).

On average, the virus is more lethal to older residents, especially those with predisposing conditions. About half of the state’s covid-19 deaths occurred among people aged 80 and over (47%), followed by 65-79 (33%), 50-64 (15.6%), 30-49 (4%), 18-29. (0.4%), 5-17 (0%), and 0-4 (0%).

At least 7,668 deaths from COVID-19 in the state have occurred among residents and staff members in nursing homes and other long-term care facilities. The number has risen sharply again in recent months, with deaths in state nursing homes nearly tripling in December.

Currently there are active outbreaks at 431 facilities, resulting in 7,054 active cases among residents and 7,619 active cases among employees.

Global number

As of Sunday morning, there had been more than 98.86 million positive COVID-19 tests worldwide, according to a tele run by Johns Hopkins University. Coronavirus-related complications have killed 2.12 million people.

U.S. The highest number of cases was 251, with more than 50,000 deaths and more than ૨ 25 million deaths.

NJ Advance Media Staff Writer Riley Yates Contributed to this report.

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Matt Arco Can be reached at [email protected].