In September, about 49% of U.S. residents said they wore masks in public, according to a study by the Covid-19 forecasting team at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Washington.
However, with the assumption that the daily mortality rate in the states stops when the death toll rises to one million, the wearing of masks does not change, according to the study’s Model Dell, which estimates the death toll to be 511,37373 by February 28. Can reach.
The view that %%% people in each state wear masks – in addition to states that have re-established the social distance order if the daily death rate exceeds one million deaths – the lowest estimate of deaths with 1,381 deaths with 88 deaths by February 28, study According to.
For the study, researchers analyzed data on Covid-19 cases and deaths in the United States from February 1 to September 21. That analysis – along with other factors such as pneumonia season tu, test rates and the use of masks – helped the model report estimates for the epidemic course by 28 February.
The study had some limitations, with the findings only predicting the models Delo and no predictions of what the future holds – and masks fluctuate, so the 49% figure used in the study now appears to be outdated.
The director of IHME, Dr. Chris Murray also stressed during a virtual press briefing on Friday that the organization’s weekly modeling estimates provide more updated data than what is provided in the study. However, studies still help offer insights into how mask-wearing can make a difference.
“We think the main point here is that there’s a big increase in winter and our malls have been showing that for months,” Murray said Friday.
He said, “You can see in the paper what universal masks can do and they slightly increase or delay it.” “I think it’s very difficult in a place where we’re in the U.S. – where there’s so much community transmission of the virus – to stop some of the winter’s decline, but we can make it much smaller.”
Murray said the “long-distance perspective” given in the decision is very important to help decision-makers – governors, the federal government, other actors – think about what we need to do. “
“In the last week, the increase in daily cases has become very evident, and for the first time since the beginning of August, daily deaths have begun to rise. Said in its weekly update.
“The fall / winter intensity will intensify in November and December, reaching a peak in January. Many states will face heavy pressure on hospital capacity and possibly re-impose some social distance command. The best strategy to re-enforce. To expand usage. “
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