New 2020 interviews suggest slim Biden leadership in crucial Wisconsin campaign


Trump won Wisconsin in 2016 by a very narrow margin – 0.77% – and that gave him the necessary 270 votes in Electoral College needed to win the presidency. Wisconsin is set to be pivotal in the 2020 race as well and Biden has consistently led the president in Badger State.

The margin of error of the Marquette University poll was 4.2%, indicating that there was no clear leader in the presidential race in Wisconsin for that survey.

In all three polls, Trump deserves for the most part negative reviews for his removal from the presidency.

In the poll of the University of Wisconsin, 55% rejected his resignation from the presidency, and 54% said the same in the Marquette University poll. In CBS polls, 50% say Trump’s presidency is going less than expected, compared to just 30% who think it’s going better than they expected.

Most, 59%, in CBS polls say Trump does a bad job with the coronavirus outbreak, and 58% in Marquette University polls say they disapprove of his handling of the outbreak, Trump’s worst rating to the question in Marquette’s poll since March.

But Trump tops Biden when voters are asked who would do a better job of dealing with the economy in CBS polls: 47% favor Trump, 43% bid. The Marquette poll finds that 51% approve of Trump’s treatment of the economy and 46% disapprove, figures that have held back since June.

Over all three polls, among registered voters, a large minority reported that they planned to vote by mail in the presidential election (35% in the Marquette poll, 38% in the University of Wisconsin poll and 44% in the CBS News interview). Both the CBS News and Marquette polls find Democrats much more likely to say they plan to vote by mail than Republicans (57% in the Marquette poll among Democrats vs. 13% for Republicans; in CBS) -poll said 62% of Democrats prefer voting by post to 25% of Republicans).

The interviews, all released in quick succession, come after a roughly three-month drought of quality control in Wisconsin.

The CBS News / YouGov poll was conducted online in Wisconsin on August 4-7 under a random sample of 1,009 registered voters. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
The University of Wisconsin poll in Madison Survey Center was conducted online July 27 to August 6 in Wisconsin among a random sample of 800 adults, including 734 registered voters. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.86 percentage points for the entire sample, +/- 5 among registered voters.
The Marquette University Law School poll was conducted online Aug. 4-9 in Wisconsin in a random sample of 801 registered voters, including 675 likely voters. It has a sampling margin of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points for the entire sample, +/- 4.2 among likely voters.

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