On Wednesday, August 19th, we hosted a 19:05 ET 11 game “Head” on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and SuperDraft. Before you lock your MLB DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure you check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections.
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Greetings, Gamers! For a third straight day, we have twenty teams in action on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and SuperDraft.
Similar to last year, I will be providing a review of one stack for each of the day’s layouts. Some of these short-lay options will be good for the full-game set, others will be more contrasting and better suited for the mini-game sets.
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MLB DFS afternoon-lead-select
Baltimore Orioles vs. RHP Tanner Roark – 5.0 implicit rune
My hope is that the Batters of Birdland will be somewhat contrasting on our short afternoon lay. FanDuel only covers the two games in one hour. DraftKings adds in Game 1 of the Cardinals and Cubs doubleheader. On DraftKings, I prefer both pitchers in that game over the other four options. On FanDuel, gamers ideally want to “pick on the Orioles” and they roll with RHP Tanner Roark.
Look at the other FanDuel choices from Tommy Millone, Jake Arrieta en Kyle Hart, Roark is the ‘best’ option. However, he is still pretty mediocre. Since the start of the 2018 season, the 759 lefties that the veteran hurler has to offer have put together a 1.59 HR / 9 rate, .200 ISO and a 9.0 BB%. Rare-handed hitters have not done so well, but are still above league average.
Anthony Santander is our first priority and on Tuesday night he had his second game of two at home in less than a week. Over the course of his last 419 plate appearances against rights, the switch-hitter has placed a .250 xISO. Rio Ruiz has flashed the carpenter this season with a home game every ten at bat. Finally, Dwight Smith Jr.also has a bit of a pop in his bat with a .190 xISO over his last 394 lefty / righty matchups.
MLB DFS Main-Slate Picks
Minnesota Twins Vs. LHP Brett Anderson – 5.1 implied runs
Here we go again, the Twinkies get a matchup with a subpar southpaw. LHP Brett Anderson is protruding and should show 80-85 pitches. When playing on FanDuel, you need to start your setup with Mitch Garver who is $ 2,500. This is basically half of his $ 4,900 price tag on DraftKings. In his last 256 right / lefty matchups he has placed a .245 ISO and 134 wRC +. At the age of 40, Nelson Cruz still gets it done and he’s a noted air masher.
Miguel Sano has been abysmal this year with a .148 average. However, seven of his nine hits have gone for extra bases including four home runs. Byron Buxton never seems to capitalize on his talent, but he’s on a hot streak. In his last ten games, he has a .297 / .622 / .911 triple slash line.
Related MLB DFS content
Late-Slate Picks from MLB
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim by RHP Johnny Cueto – 4.6 implied runs
If you have read my column, you know that I began to believe that the changes throughout the season to Oracle Park have apparently improved the score to close to Coors Field proportions. Okay, that’s very hyperbolic, but this is starting to feel more like a phenomenon than randomness in a small sample size.
In nine home games, the Giants averaged 6.0 runs per game, while the opposition placed 7.4 of their own. That works out to 13.4 runs per ballgame. In 544 flat appearances on the road, San Fran has a .131 ISO and a 75 wRC + (weighted runes created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes park factors and creates a competition-wide baseline for scoring efficiency of 100). Over 358 plate phenomena in Oracle Park, they have a .196 ISO with a 130 wRC +.
Marking the wRC + metric, this means they are 25% less efficient than league-scoring competition on the go, but 30% higher than league average in what has traditionally been a pitch-friendly place. Yes, their pitching has been HORRIBLE, but wouldn’t it be something if we could come here for a trend?
It should also be noted that there is likely to be a very correlated cause and effect with the disappointing pitching staff put together this year by the Giants. However, where is the joy in that being the answer ?!
How crazy is EMac?
There’s also an ‘off-the-wall’ theory that ‘juiced’ balls will be used in Oracle Park this year as a tribute to the general wildness of 2020. Think of this as the opposite approach used in Coors Field and Chase Field, where the humidor storage of baseballs is used to reduce the offensive effects of those ball parks.
RHP Johnny Cueto will just make his 19th start in the last two plus seasons after dealing with a variety of injuries. Even at his peak in the mid-2010s, he was not a tall striker. Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon en Shoehi Ohtani are the obvious plays. This trio should also be considered as a counterattack against the Coors Field audience. Jason Castro has been dealing with a sore neck, but he has light Tower Power. Finally Brian Goodwin, David Fletcher en Tommy LaStella are not household names, but they will be plays. Heck, even 40-year-old Albert Pujols is in play at this point … if you believe!
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