Michigan again at ‘high risk’ for virus outbreak amid 2G wave concerns, data show

A research group has once again given Michigan a “high risk” reason for a coronavirus outbreak, as COVD-19 cases are rising rapidly across the state.

A group of technologists, epidemiologists, health experts and public policy leaders are now identifying each state’s risk level for the spread of COVID-19 – which has recently worsened in most parts of the U.S.

On Thursday, Michigan’s risk of a coronavirus outbreak rose from “moderate risk” to “high risk” for the first time since July 31. The state’s new risk level is largely due to an increase in infection rates and a rapid increase in new COVIDs daily. According to the data 19 cases.

Michigan was previously labeled as experiencing “controlled disease growth”.

Like most other states, Michigan’s risk of spreading coronavirus has fluctuated over the past several months due to Covid-19 infections, hospitalizations, contact tracing, and more fluctuating rates.

July1 July, we report that Michigan’s situation has changed from experiencing an “epidemic risk” to experiencing “gradual disease growth.” The state, initially on July 8, went to a high risk level as the number of Covid-19 cases increased and contact tracing decreased in Michigan.

The state has since maintained its moderate risk level – until Oct. 8, when it again shifted in an undesirable direction.

Infection rate

As of Sunday, data show that Michigan currently has an infection rate of 1.12 – meaning that every person infected with COVD-19 is infecting 1.12 others. The state’s infection rate improved in August Gust after an increase in July, but began to rise again during September.

Michigan had an infection rate of 0.99 on August 26, 1.06 on July 31, 1.21 on July 19, and 1.14 on July 8.

The Covid Act now considers the infection rate to be “critical” if it exceeds 1.4. Michigan’s current infection rate of 1.12 is considered “high” and contributes to the state’s high risk of spreading the virus.

New cases daily

Another factor contributing to Michigan’s high-risk situation is the number of new COVID-19 cases reported per 100,000 people per day.

On Sunday, the Covid Act now reports that Michigan records 11.7 new Covid-19 cases per 100,000 inhabitants every day – a number that the research group considers “high.”

Any number greater than 1 is considered “medium” and anything above 10 is considered “high”. According to the group, a state has reached a “critical” state if more than 25 new cases are registered daily for every 100,000 residents.

On August 26th, Michigan was reporting a median rate of 7.1 newly confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents per day – as of July 31.3. update of from. According to the data, the daily rate of new cases in Michigan in April was 1.1.1. 7.

The data of this group is similar to the corinavirus case and the death data reported by Michigan State.

Michigan is currently experiencing its biggest spike in Covid-19 cases since the onset of the epidemic. On Saturday, a total of 134,656 confirmed virus cases were reported in the state, with 1,522 new cases reported since Friday – the highest one-day increase since April.

As of Saturday, the state’s new case-day moving average has reached 1,020. This is the first time Michigan has recorded a 7-day moving average above 1,000 since April 17.

Click here for more Michigan COVID-19 data.

Contact tracing

Contact tracing in Michigan has been steadily declining since June and has reached its lowest level since the onset of the epidemic.

Contact tracing is cited as the main factor for the inclusion of COVID-19, but the percentage of contact tracing in Michigan has dropped significantly in recent months as the number of virus cases continues to rise across the state.

As of Sunday, the Covid Act now reports that Michigan detects 18 percent of 19 new Covid-cases within 48 hours of infection – which health officials say is insufficient to contain the virus. Experts recommend At least 90 percent New Covid-19 cases are detected within 48 hours to contain the virus.

“With an average of 1,167 new daily cases, Michigan needs an estimated 5,835 contact tracers on staff to trace each new case into a known case within 48 hours of the investigation. According to our best available data, Michigan has 1,050 contact tracers, meeting 18% of this staffing requirement. “With insufficient contact tracing staff, Michigan can successfully identify the sources of the epidemic and spread it fast enough to prevent new outbreaks.”

When a state’s contact tracing falls below 20 percent it is considered “low”, and when it falls below 7 percent it is considered “critical” according to research. Between 10 and 90 percent are considered “medium.”

COVID-19 test

Research from the Covid Act Now shows that Michigan needs to expand the COVID-19 test to better contain the virus.

As of Sunday, Michigan has a “moderate” positive test rate of 3 percent, according to the data. The group says the numbers indicate that the state is not conducting aggressive and comprehensive testing, as new cases should be identified and the virus better contained.

The state previously had a “low” positive test rate of 2.3 per cent on August 26 – a slight increase from 2.2 per cent on July 31, but still declined to 2.7 per cent on July 19.

Michigan’s positive COVID-19 test rate was steadily declining, with dramatic declines in May and early June. The state saw its lowest positive test rate on June 10 – 0.9 per cent – followed by a positive test rate of 2.8 per cent in July and fluctuated between 2 and 3 per cent during August and September.

The Covid Act now considers the test rate to be “moderate” rather than low if it exceeds 3 percent. Between 10 and 19 percent are considered “high” and between 20-100 percent are considered “critical.”

The virus hospitalized

On a more positive note, Michigan has seen an improvement in Matthew COVID-19 hospitalization. Until recently, there has been a steady decline in virus hospitalization since May 13th.

Of the ICU beds available in Michigan, about 16 percent are currently used by COVID-19 patients, according to the research group, suggesting that “there is a potential potential to absorb the wave of new COVID infection,” the report said.

The Covid Act now says Michigan hospitals could “possibly handle a new wave of Covid” – which is good news, given the concern of experts that U.S. The virus may be at the beginning of the second wave of infection.

COVID-19 by Michigan County

The Covid Act now breaks down data at the county level by assigning coronavirus risk levels to each county in the state. According to the data, most Michigan counties consider COVID-19 to be a “medium” risk of outbreak.

In our last August 26 report, most Michigan counties were labeled as moderately at risk of coronavirus spreading through the Covid Act Now, with very few counties labeled as high-risk or experiencing an active epidemic.

By Sunday, a number of counties had shifted to high-risk or active or proximal coronavirus outbreaks – particularly in the upper peninsula and the southwestern part of the lower peninsula.

In UP, Lewis, Houghton, Delta, Iron, Keunav, Menomini, McKinak, Dickinson and Elger counties are currently experiencing an active or imminent outbreak. Only Oscoda and Calhoun counties in the lower peninsula share this label.

About half the counties in the lower peninsula are experiencing controlled disease growth (yellow), while the other half is considered at risk of an epidemic (orange). The two most severely affected by the epidemic – Wayne and Auckland counties – are experiencing particularly controlled disease development, largely due to the rate of infection.

According to the research group, only Alpina County is considered “on the way to include COVID”.

• In collaboration with the Harvard Global Health Institute and dozens of more researchers and public health officials, the Covid Act has now broken down even more detailed COVID-19 county data for all U.S. counties. Click here to take a look.

Epidemic U.S. Worsens in

With most states at risk of an outbreak along with Michigan, the spread of coronavirus in the U.S. is getting worse.

Overall, 31 states are labeled as having a high risk of COVID-19 outbreak and 13 states are considered to be experiencing active or imminent outbreaks. According to the data, only six states are considered at moderate risk of coronavirus outbreaks.

No states are considered on track to contain the virus.

In our last report on August 26, most states were labeled as moderate risk of coronavirus outbreak, and more states were considered less at risk than them.

Six states, including Ohio, also saw a record single-day increase in COVID-19 cases on Saturday, leading to a new wave of fears in the country.

“We’re very scared for what we’re heading towards and what we’re starting to see in our hospitals,” said Dr. Megan Renny of Brown University. “We all deeply fear that this is the beginning of another scary wave.”

Europe is currently experiencing another wave of COVID-19.

Rennie said doctors across the country are beginning to see more serious cases. Health officials have warned of a second wave a day after the highest number of new COVD-19 cases in nearly two months.

“We saw those spikes in numbers that were mostly young people going back to college lodge,” Rennie said. “But what we’re seeing now is that it’s starting to spread in the community.”

An updated coronavirus projection model claims that U.S. It could see 395,000 deaths by February, in stark contrast to President Trump’s project.

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