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The number of infections will increase further.
According to Health Minister Aurelius Veryga, it is still difficult to say if the threat is high.
“From the information we have so far, the threat is localized. We are talking about a company, its employees, the people who came. If the epidemiological investigation does not reveal that some procedures have not been followed, no communication has been made with other people , then the threat will be evaluated as local, “says the Minister.
According to the minister, more local chimneys of this type are likely to occur.
“There will definitely be local fireplaces, because employees and residents of the countries will come.” If there are no violations, the threat will be limited enough. But it still remains, it is real ”, emphasizes A. Veryga.
According to him, the number of infections will increase further, and whether we get a second wave of coronavirus will depend on how the recommendations are followed.
Aurelijus Veryga
“We will definitely get growth because we are an open country, we are no longer closed borders.” It would be really naive to expect it completely. The countries of Europe that witness the spread of the disease do not allow us to relax. These are countries where the number of cases has decreased, like Croatia, where it seems to have been really good and we are now seeing growth. This is worrying, “says the minister.
Professor: We are in the early stages of a pandemic.
Head of the Clinic for Childhood Diseases, Prof. Vilnius University. Vytautas Usonis claims that although the number of registered infections has decreased, the virus is still not under control.
“We are all talking about waves, but is the first wave over? We do not control the virus, we control the number of diseases,” says the professor in the “Delfi diena” program.
“More recently, a large web conference was held with researchers from all continents. Epidemiologists very categorically say that we are in the early stages of this pandemic. It is too early to rejoice. Unless the number of illnesses and deaths in Lithuania is relatively small. But we must realize very clearly that this is the beginning of a global pandemic, “says V. Usonis.
According to him, the number of diseases can also be affected by the time of year: “Now is the summer season, when the activity of many viruses in the respiratory system is less. From December to March, an increase, the peak, in February, in March, falls April. It is very similar to what was in Lithuania. “
The professor says that researchers have pointed to risk groups, both the elderly and people with chronic diseases, such as the lungs, liver and diabetes.
Vytautas Usonis
“For those in their 70s, the risk of death is about 5 times higher than for those in their 60s. For people over 80, that risk increases 20-fold,” says the doctor.
According to him, this study already distinguishes more clearly the less common or more common symptoms of the coronavirus.
“If at first it was a flu-like illness, today it is clear that coronavirus affects not only the lungs, but also other organs. It is obvious that even those born with mild forms have long-term residual phenomena,” he explains. The teacher.
With information that coronavirus immunity may begin to decline in a matter of weeks or months, Usonis says it is too early to draw conclusions: “Six months have passed since the pandemic began, can we talk about the duration of post-infectious immunity ? Because for other diseases, 6 months is still an acute infection. “
New data on children
When asked if it is safe to send children to school in the fall, V. Usonis says that there are very different strategies for educational institutions in the world, and that it is still very difficult to make categorical decisions.
“Quarantine is a commitment. First, a compromise between where there is the greatest risk to the child, whether it is staying home and being safe from the virus, or limiting social communication, development and development,” says the doctor in the “Delfi diena” program.
According to him, new information is emerging that children returning from chimneys have a relatively low risk of infecting family members.
“We imagine that the situation with coronavirus is the same as with influenza, where children are actually a very powerful driving force: they are active in society and transmit the flu to the family, especially to grandparents.” It seems that everything is different with the coronavirus ”, explains V. Usonis.
As fall approaches, V. Usonis has more tips.
“I would suggest wearing a mask to people at risk when they are in stores, for example. Fall, flu, pneumococcal vaccination time is coming.” These are diseases that, like the coronavirus, damage the lungs and respiratory system and, for Of course, if people are safer with the flu, pneumococcal infection can help reduce the risk of serious illness overall, regardless of illness, “says the professor.
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