The number of people infected by coronavirus will be much higher than yesterday: it is no longer just a regional problem



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“I can’t say the number for sure, but I can’t encourage you either. The number of cases will significantly exceed yesterday’s. The downside is that the cases are spread not only in various regions, but throughout Lithuania. at least one or two cases in up to 50 municipalities, the trend is not good. The virus is spreading in Lithuania, “said R. Lingienė on the program” Delfi Rytas “.

Delphi remember that 118 people were diagnosed with coronavirus on Monday.

According to the NVSC representative, when discussing the steps that should be taken to handle the situation, it is not so much the number of cases that matters, but the location of those cases.

“If they spread in known outbreaks, they are related to outbreaks, then epidemiologists identify and manage them more easily. As the previous case of” Vilnika “in Nemenčinė showed, it is easy to manage, you know the connections.

But the key management tool is identifying cases, identifying those who have been in contact, and isolating them. If this is done, then the number of cases is not that important. If we no longer identify the chain of infection, we don’t break it, then there is a spread in society, and that is bad, ”said R. Lingienė.

According to the specialist, it is also important to monitor who (people of what age and social group) has COVID-19. According to her, there are already trends that are increasing the incidence of older people.

“Their disease generally requires different treatment – it generally requires hospitalization (hospital treatment -” Delfi “) of such people, more intensive care, help, treatment are needed. This is a certain burden on the health system,” said R. Lingienė .

Speaking of social groups, the NVSC spokeswoman stressed that it is very important that doctors, policemen, firefighters and others, on whom public order and our safety depend, do not get sick and can continue with their work.

Also a very important indicator is the occupation of beds in the hospital. There is a certain percentage in Lithuania: there are about 1000 beds with spare beds, but 401 of them are in five big hospitals, we count this from them, which according to yesterday’s data the employment is around 35-37 per hundred.

We have set an indicator that when 70 percent. busy, the stop signal is already activated. This means that it will be necessary to redesign the processes in health facilities. For ordinary people, this means that the availability of services and planned health care services may decrease, ”said R. Lingienė.

Measurements are targeted at individual areas

The epidemiologist explained that the current planning of measures follows a different strategy than that of spring, focusing more on those areas where problems arise. In each case, the response to the situation is different.

“There are already various regimes to limit the spread of infections. There are full classes in distance education – (…) there are simply no more teachers or there are too many people in contact. In Elektrėnai municipality, we asked all people to be surveyed, because we can clearly see that the spread is from hockey. Elektrėnai is a hockey town. Interfaces in most cases, from hockey training.

We will offer (other measures) to the municipality of Vilnius city. Now we see that the bars have returned in the last few days, and there are two bars on Vilniaus Street, where in the last few days we have six cases in one and three in the other, and how many more asymptomatic forms there are. We will investigate employees, but it is necessary to limit such activities at this time. As it is necessary to limit and various sub-activities, it involves all kinds of dance classes, choir rehearsals, contact sports.

This does not mean that all this should be closed, but maybe we can create social bubbles, maybe colleagues are dancing together. It is also possible to jump at home: invite colleagues that we meet during the day, it will not get worse when they meet at night, but do not go to those places, ”said R. Lingien ..

Reiterating that the problems with bars are returning to the capital, R. Lingienė said that in the near future there will be talks with partner structures about what can be done about it. According to her, it is not necessary to talk about closing its activities.

“We can talk about shortening the time, we can talk about registration. You will do nothing with the bans alone,” said R. Lingienė.

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