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Director General of Statistics Lithuania dr. Jūratė Petrauskienė and the mayor of the Širvintos district Živilė Pinskuvienė. |
The Statistics Department said that “we have a unique opportunity to observe the birth and growth of liars.”
“Following the report of the Širvintos district mayor, Živilė Pinskuvienė, on disease statistics, Statistics Lithuania released its response, in which politicians described the information posted on Facebook as false,” the publication of the independent People’s Party portal, the liars are born and raised “.
The false mayor of Širvintos is also announced by the state broadcaster and all other independent media at the request of the country.
“We have a unique opportunity to observe the birth and growth of liars,” the report from the Department of Statistics is quoted.
The report says:
“We note that the mayor of the Širvintos Ž district. The information published by Pinskuvienė contains inaccuracies that we want to deconstruct.
1. The mayor of the Širvintos district writes:
And … Relatively does not come out. Because it proves it in 14 days. there are 40 cases.
The difference is small, not a thousand, but important because with 40 cases in 14 days we are in the C3 red zone, and with 23, as much as we see in the Juvare system, we would be in the C2 zone.
Okay, an equal sign between 23 and 40 won’t help.
“It cannot be compared, but we will compare.”
In the context of quarantine (release), the most important indicator is the number of new cases in 14 days per 100 thousand. population, and this is 221 in Širvintos district.
In the illustration, meanwhile, the mayor in red describes the number of people who are currently statistically ill – 40, but at the same time he says that he is taking “40 cases in 14 days” – which does not exist at all. And as if there was not enough confusion, compare this figure with the operational data of another system -NVSC Juvare-, which in general cannot be compared because the cases do not match:
Allocation per day (Lithuanian statistics allocate 00.00–23.59, as allocated by NVSC, we cannot comment because we do not know)
· Assignment to administrative territory (Lithuanian Statistics assigns the following in order of priority: a. At the time of registration, the municipality indicated by the person in the mobile point; b. Local municipality in Lithuania, d) If this is not the case, then the municipality of the institution that commissioned the study is used;
The case itself is defined differently (Lithuanian statistics count the cases: positive laboratory tests + COVID-19 disease diagnosed by family doctors, NVSC: positive laboratory cases)
By the way, on the last day only one new positive case of COVID-19 was registered in Širvintos district.
2. The mayor of the Širvintos district refers to an interview with the director of the NVSC, in which he doubts the current methodology when comparing tomatoes with cucumbers: Yes, according to the NVSC, there were around 600 people infected with COVID-19 per day, Lithuanian Statistics reported only about 500 such cases. “
Lithuanian statistics publish new cases registered the previous day (00.00-23.59). Previous cases that are known during the declared day are retrospectively updated and assigned to the day they were registered e. in health. This prevents weekend drops in statistics, and data analysts can analyze the data assigned to the actual time of the event.
The Lithuanian Department of Statistics, following the decision of the Head of State Operations in the State of Emergency, publishes information from the primary source, i.e. health, and prepares indicators methodically (see https://osp.stat.gov. lt / covid-19-rodikliu-apibrezimai). This was done so that the data were comparable and ordered. We remind you once again that the NVSC system data and the State Data Management Information System are unmatched due to the differences:
Allocation per day (Lithuanian statistics allocate 00.00–23.59, as allocated by NVSC, we cannot comment because we do not know)
· Assignment to administrative territory (Lithuanian Statistics assigns the following in order of priority: a. At the time of registration, the municipality indicated by the person in the mobile point; b. Local municipality in Lithuania, d) If this is not the case, then the municipality of the institution that commissioned the study is used;
· The case itself is defined differently (Lithuanian statistics count cases: positive laboratory tests + COVID-19 disease diagnosed by family doctors, NVSC: positive laboratory cases) ”.
Himself Ž. Pinskuvienė commented on the report published by the Department of Statistics on public networks:
“I just learned that the excuse would air on Friday night. I very much hope there is enough energy to unify the data, not just to interpret it empty. As the weekend approaches, the headline rings! I give myself realize I was embarrassed by this issue. And the fact is clear: the data The number of COVID-19 cases in the last 14 days in the Širvintos district does not match. To be completely clear, I also corrected my technical error in Excel from 23 to 22. I also write the school formula so that everything is finally clear to all mathematicians. But neither 40 nor 32 equals 22. And the Department of Statistics, after yesterday’s public statement on much more precise figures , he states – “as assigned by the NVSC, we can’t comment because we don’t know.” Don’t excuse me, I’m sure you will be able to accomplish this task by sorting patient data this week. They are the most imp ortantes. A quiet and peaceful weekend! “
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